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The engine to scare
The panic machine runs at full speed. His bread re-entered not only in Romania or the United States, but in all parts of Europe. Newsletters and political and medical statements overwhelm us, overwhelm us, scare us, frighten us, frighten us, just as, if not worse, in some places than they did in the spring.
And the efficiency of the car depends on who drives it and their credibility. In vain he tries to calm down and warn against panic leaders who are persistently branded as “liars”, like Donald Trump, at best demonized by the press. Do the alarmists themselves have authority and credibility? Popular rulers, doctors, moderators or influencers warning with sinister tone and sepulchral voice? Panic is on the rise. And it grows badly. But what is it for?
How relevant, in themselves, are the numbers that terrify us, announcing thousands and tens of thousands of new contaminations every day? How rational are we to let them terrorize us? And how useful are, in part, the measures that are announced or taken and that at the stage of speech, as in writing, tend to kill not only the economy but also the hope of returning to normal, along with the psyche, culture, society. , the existence and security of the free world.
About Smart Data Reading and Environments
To understand what our lives are really about, we urgently need differentiated and rational information. Or, for various reasons, I haven’t had much of it lately, branded in the public press of many countries as uncritical, irrational, anxious, terrified, docile, and hyper-prudent approaches.
But there are also miracles. The desire to understand, learn and help has not yet completely died, not even in the Western press. A recent German public television program, ARD, has made, with the help of trademark specialists, a welcome effort to put the (real) figures and statistics that are circulating, into sensible perspective. One, capable of calming, clarifying, clarifying and unraveling, to promote broader understandings, more realistic appraisals and more serious, more adequate and therefore more useful policies than up to now.
It is true: the German case is, or seems, happier than in many countries. In Romania, unfortunately, there is a different situation in hospitals, intensive care units, the number of effective doctors and drugs. However, far from being singular, the German case is, in several respects, edifying and capable of illustrating general trends.
What can we learn from the German experience?
This case suggests that the number of infections in a country is too insignificant. Or even irrelevant. It doesn’t really matter, in other words, how many people get infected. Or how much the number of people who become infected increases daily. Instead, it matters how many people get sick. It matters how many are hospitalized. It matters how many come to intensive care and how many doctors or good medicines the country has. And it matters how many people die, if they die, from the pandemic.
Statistics show that there is no overmortality in Germany. Only in April did excess mortality vaguely exceed the average for other years. It then declined rapidly and dramatically, clearly below average.
The 9,500 deaths attributed by the Robert Koch Institute to the Covid 19 virus or comorbidities of people infected with the pathogen were overwhelmingly recorded in June. Since then, only 500 have died from contamination with the crown.
In the first three months of the pandemic, only 20 percent of those infected showed symptoms if they were not hospitalized and without them. Then the hospitals were emptied. And intensive care units. Fewer than 500 of the 30,000 beds in German intensive care units are now occupied by Covid 19 patients.
Useful in context is a look that ARD journalists, as well as the specialists consulted, give to the August mortality. During the 31 days of this summer month, mortality increased sharply (but remained below average) to almost 20,000 per week. Why?
Hot. Of the dead, only 20 were contaminated. The covid death line has flattened. It tends to zero. What is found? What do these figures show? But from examining the situation in morgues, hospitals, intensive care units? According to Professor Hendryk Streeck, a leading rhinology virologist at the University of Bonn, the figures indicate that “new infections have only had one meaning, as we have a very small number of people who really need medical attention.”
The head of the federal health insurance association in Germany, Andreas Gassen, also lamented the media hype, calling it “the extreme concentration from morning to night in the crown.” And Dr. Torsten Bauer, director of a lung clinic in Berlin whose crown section has been almost empty for weeks, spoke even more clearly, recommending that “we get rid of this (absolute) figure of the (increase) of new infections “. “Because relevant, in his opinion, is the number of diseases. Which has remained, for months, constantly at a very low level. Because it especially contaminates young people, who often remain asymptomatic.
Caution is still mandatory
Does all this mean that we can let our guard down? That we can afford to be irresponsible? What is reasonable to tolerate recklessness? That we can definitely give up masks or social distances in closed spaces? That there is no potential danger and possible consequences in the short, medium or long term? That the categories of the elderly and at risk, of which the last old man, alas, who died of the crown in a German asylum, which collapsed in June this year, should no longer be protected?
Absolutely. It just means that it’s a good idea to start thinking with your own head. Let us dissociate what is to be dissociated. Let’s look at the increase in pollution from the higher net number of hospitalizations, severe cases, and deaths. Ultimately, let us realize what is relevant and what is not. And what else is really proportionate and acceptable and what is not.
It means understanding, finally, what has been said before: that the number of infections will continue to increase, possibly even a vaccine, or even a potential but irreparable “herd immunization” of European and American populations. It also means asking the political class to resist the temptation of convenient and strong efforts.
Power warning
The temptation to introduce new and more draconian restrictions and bans is great. Because it is easy and good to say “no”, to give the impression that, with the voter in danger, you, the governor, are defending his life. In the short term, a liberticidal policy supports the potentates.
But when the severity is on the side of the road, the citizens go crazy and miserable. Which, at some point, will hold them accountable. And it could take revenge and destabilize power by putting democracy on its feet.
Therefore, it is good for society, and for the State, and for the life and mental and mental health of people, that the adoption of prohibitions and extreme measures, such as confinement, is replaced by trust in people and in the discernment of the citizen. And with a stable, balanced, firm, but calm renormalization policy.
Petre M. Iancu
