Alexandru Rafila’s explanation for the number of sawtooth coronavirus cases



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Alexandru Rafila, member of the Executive Committee of the World Health Organization, explained to Digi24 on Wednesday night why in Romania the daily reports of coronavirus are reported “in sawtooth”, although we have been in the plateau area for about two to three weeks. He also discussed the “pattern” of infections that could occur during the summer and what is the best method of intervention.

“It depends on the structure of the requests, that is, from whom does more evidence come. More samples come from symptomatic people, I mean patients, doctors or those who fall into the categories mentioned by the Institute of Public Health, or more samples come of patients who are already hospitalized. It is also a question related to the homogeneity of the request and there is another aspect, I bothered some with this statement, but it is real, it depends a lot if in some counties samples are taken from the right person, “he said. Alexandru Rafila, the Digi24.

“There are counties, I don’t want to nominate them anymore, that send out a few samples in one day.” You are unlikely to believe that patients or medical staff do not have symptomatic people among them, so of course the results are proportional. This structure of requesting evidence every day is the one that generates fluctuations, “he added.

The expert also said that “there is another fluctuation, which is ultimately understandable.”

“In general, there are fewer trials on Sundays than during the week, so Monday is a report day with fewer cases. But even if they are saw teeth, a trend is very easy, we will see that we are in a plateau area , about 300-350 cases a day and this trend lasts for about two to three weeks, is not a cause for concern, “said Rafila.

“We were concerned and still have a few days to see an explosion in the number of cases due to the intensification of activity during the Easter period. However, we found that during the Easter period there were not as many interactions and the evidence is representative of These cases are somewhat stabilized. But let’s see what happens in the next period, because after the president’s announcement about the possible relaxation on May 15, it seemed to me that he made quite clear statements, people considered that things returned to normal before May 15 “. , completed on.

“In the end, May 15 is a convention, which actually marks the end of the second period of the state of emergency, and certain measures of eventual relaxation must be taken in time. If we have an outbreak in Suceava, with almost 3,000 cases, no we can have the same type of approach in a county like Harghita, where we have 20 cases. It is clear that the approach should be different, “said the WHO representative in Romania.

“In the coming period, I think this will be a priority: rapid identification of any outbreaks that are emerging and rapid intervention in that outbreak, so as not to let it evolve.” About this I think it will be the model during the summer, a relatively low average number of cases, but with certain outbreaks where it is transmitted in the community. The intervention must be quick in that place, identify contacts, introduce stricter isolation measures, but with a local profile, “said Alexandru Rafila.

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