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Orban’s influence is questioned, but the former prime minister has managed to maintain his coalition capacity within the party until the next congress and the creation of a new decisive pole. From the Cotroceni Palace, Klaus Iohannis could contribute to undermine the power of the former prime minister.
Adrian Zabava, political communication consultant, assures that the presidency of Ludovic Orban at the head of the National Liberal Party (PNL) was a success until the elections on Sunday, December 4, when his party obtained the score of 25.19% in the Chamber of Deputies. and 25.58% in the Senate, which ranks second, after the Social Democratic Party.
“The election results and all the NLP gains so far have shown that Orban was a good president for the NLP. These results also led to an increase in Orban’s power and influence within the party. No one believed before these elections. that Orban will not consolidate his power, because the majority thought that the NLP would win these elections, but the result was a major slap in the face for Ludovic Orban, if the NLP would probably have won the elections against the PSD by at least one vote, Orban’s power He might not have eroded inside, but this second place leaves him far behind. The fact that he had to resign as prime minister is an extremely troublesome situation for him. We remember when Liviu Dragnea was “He was the party chairman, but not the first. Minister. He went through innumerable internal wars with the prime ministers he appointed, “Zabava explained.
Radu Delicote, a professor at the National School for Political and Administrative Studies (SNSPA), also claims that Orban has secured his place in the party.
Ludovic Orban has secured a fairly firm position within the NLP by the fact that several deputies and senators close to him have entered the new Legislature. Apart from this, Ludovic Orban will also leave his mark on the future Executive. When I propose loyal key ministers or secretaries of state, therefore, I do not think that the central issue is what the former prime minister of the NLP can promise, but whether there is, at this moment, another pole of power besides Orban in within the party, “Delicote said.
Pirvulescu: Who will be able to fly in the next storm, if not Orban?
Political scientist Cristian Pirvulescu affirms that Orban has largely preserved his coalition capacity within the party and will maintain it until the National Congress, which should be held in the first half of next year, and even after, if he reconfirms himself as leader and no other. pole of power will form to face it.
“It was a brief moment of crisis after the parliamentary results, but the solution to leave the Government was the one that allowed him to resume negotiations, and the untimely and harsh entrance of General Ciuca into the Victoria Palace, directed against Orban’s relatives, aroused suspicions. . in the party and strengthened his position, waiting for the party congress. Until the party congress, if a strong candidate looms against Orban, the situation would get complicated. For a moment, there are none. Who will be able to pilot the coming storm? “To a large extent, the party, as seen now, is its creation, it is its negotiations. I mean the former parliamentarians on whom the majority depends, who come from Pro Romania and other parties and who are not sure, they have some agreements with Orban, not with other party leaders, ”explains Pirvulescu.
Political consultant Adi Zabava says that Orban will maintain his influence for the next legislature in the party, in the context in which the parliamentarians who entered the new legislature are approved by him and the cabinet of ministers was formed under his supervision.
Orban built his legitimacy during this period when he took NLP to a place where they did not expect. It is true that the loss of the position of prime minister takes away much of his power, but I am sure that this power will not disappear from a If Citu is the next prime minister, Orban will try to maintain as much influence as possible in the ministries and the interior of the party. Let’s not forget that the entire list of the NLP, all the parliamentarians in office in the new Parliament were approved by Ludovic Orban and most of the county organizations are on Orban’s side, even if he lost the position of prime minister, it would be necessary for the The new prime minister plays against him, so that a new peak of power is born within the NLP, which at the moment is hard to believe, as the new nomination shows, if it will be approved by the parties, the president and will be voted on by Parliament . It is a path of endurance of losing the influence of Ludovic Orban i Within the NLP, it will not be from today to tomorrow, it will depend a lot on what happens in the coming months, on the way in which the pandemic is managed by the new government ”, Zabava explains.
Iohannis, the man who can reduce Orban’s power
Klaus Iohannis is one of the people who can lose the power of Ludovic Orban. The fact that Iohannis likely demanded Orban’s resignation from the post of prime minister after the parliamentary elections suggests that the president has a different view of the future of the government and the party.
“I think the relationship between Klaus Iohannis and Ludovic Orban has never been extremely close. It is true that the results of NLP, under Ludovic Orban, forced Klaus Iohannis to become a partner of Ludovic Orban and vice versa. But the fact that Ludovic Orban has resigned, almost without questioning what happened at the request of Klaus Iohannis, shows that President Iohannis does not necessarily see a future for Ludovic Orban in this number one position in NLP and the Government. To remain a player who works slowly to erode power of Ludovic Orban, including the history of his nomination as prime minister has suggested that Iohannis has different views from Orban on the future of this government and the future of the National Party. “It is possible that Klaus Iohannis’s movements, his wish, have bad consequences for Ludovic Orban “, warns the political consultant.
SNSPA professor Radu Delicote also notes that President Klaus Iohannis could reduce Orban’s power in the party.
“The influence of President Iohannis can be manifested in the inner courtyard of the party and through a series of members who are unhappy with the result of the parliamentary elections, or waited for that moment to be able to challenge the ruling party.” The presidency of the Legislature it has already passed into the shadow of influence of the Legislature.
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