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Cristian Tudor Popescu believes that the result of the 2020 parliamentary elections, foreshadowed by the exit polls and provisional results, shows the worst possible situation, because no matter what majority is formed in Parliament, it will be a fragile majority.
“It is not good, in any direction, the result of these figures. Let’s say it continues to be the case. What is quite clear is that the winning party in this election will have a small difference in front with respect to the second classified, we will not have a big difference . Maybe there will be changes, it is possible to change the order of the first two classified compared to the one we see now, but there is little chance of having a difference of 5 percent “, said Cristian Tudor Popescu, Sunday night, in Digi24.
PSD always wins elections
We start from this hypothesis of the small distance between the first two classified. If this situation continues, the PSD wins the elections, that is, what has always happened in 30 years will happen. PSD has never lost the parliamentary elections. Never. 1990 – we have nothing to discuss, FSN – 67 percent; 1992 – likewise, PSD wins in the form then, FDSN; in 1996, the PSD also won as a party, had the largest number of votes, but formed the coalition with the Democratic Convention that came to power; in 2000 PSD wins again; in 2004 the PSD won again, as the number of votes it had in parliament, but Traian Băsescu, the immoral solution, the coalition and did not enter the government, but in votes won; in 2008, again, they were practically on a par with the PDL, with which they came to power; USL in 2012 – PSD again as ruling winner; from 2016 what to talk about! So now it would mean that once again the PSD does not lose in the elections, even if it does not govern now and has little chance to govern, because President Iohannis will not appoint a PSD prime minister, ”CTP commented.
PSD does not want to rule now
In fact, the journalist believes that the PSD is not even pursuing obtaining the government as its main objective at this time. “It is enough for them to win the elections, even with a percentage in front, like Mr. Ciolacu to go to Cotroceni, to hit the table, to ask for a PSD prime minister. Iohannis will not give it to him. And the opposition struggle will start from a very strong and very good position. With the winning election, Mr. Ciolacu validates himself together with his partner at the head of the PSD and keeps the party’s image alive, strong and waiting. Why enter the government now, in this difficult situation? You can wait in turn, at the right time, since something else is happening in the assumption of this small distance between the first two, that is, any majority would be formed, it will be a fragile majority in Parliament, which can be changed by a betrayal, something, a movement at some point. If PSD is in second place, then the ‘electoral fraud’ scenario will begin, all the horns of the party will begin to scream. (…) Mr. Ciolacu won, anyway, from his point by sight, in the PSD, he won these elections, “said the journalist.
In which case the RSU will be reached only “with an appreciable number of clubs”
On the other hand, if PSD and USR PLUS form the government, it will be difficult for them to govern together anyway. How difficult it will be for them depends on the distance between them, says CTP. If the NLP will have twice or more than the USR, then the NLP negotiations with the USR will be a little smoother. But if the distance decreases, if it gets too close to the USR, then “the USR will only reach the nose with an appreciable number of clubs. His claims will be harsh, downright wild, arrogant, and extremely difficult to give up. That is the perspective ”, commented Cristian Tudor Popescu.
As the results of the exit poll show, what can be quickly calculated is that the PSD cannot form a government coalition, unlike PNL, which can with USR PLUS, I don’t know if it has enough, but if it doesn’t, it can. to negotiate with UDMR, which will enter parliament anyway.
