[ad_1]
Everything so that the election can take place on the scheduled date and President Klaus Iohannis can have a majority with which to make substantial changes. The head of state has no eccentric plans, but he wants to leave something behind, beyond the eloquence of silence, so as not to waste the 10 years spent in Cotroceni.
After trying to save the justice of Liviu Dragnea in the first period, in the second, the president was able to launch a constitutional reform, especially because, in the last 30 years, only the left has managed to prevail in this complicated field (1991 and 2006). 2003). For a new Constitution, which would provide, for example, a new administrative organization and thus a massive de-bureaucratization of the country, as Traian Băsescu tried, Klaus Iohannis would need not only NLP and USR, a combination of which he has already spoken. , but also by PSD: beyond the votes needed to pass a new Constitution in parliament, the president would also like to see a kind of unity. Show that he is the man who, in the end, can bring people together and, in particular, can go beyond the dramatic period, plus political melodramas.
In the weeks leading up to the elections, the insecurity and precariousness of each day turned the lives of Romanians into stories without suspense, in which almost every day they end with a drama. The president tries to convince his electorate that there is nothing very serious, he hides all kinds of errors of the NLP under the rug and points the finger at the Social Democratic Party.
On the other hand, PSD leader Marcel Ciolacu cleaned up the party’s candidate list and eliminated many of Liviu Dragnea’s big supporters, which doesn’t mean that things have completely changed. Ciolacu is trying to make a difference, highlighting Dr. Streinu Cercel, director of the Matei Balş Institute for Infectious Diseases, Alexandru Rafila, Romania’s representative to the World Health Organization, both candidates in Saturday’s elections, plus four others physicians in eligible positions. . It is for the first time in the last ten years when PSD is oriented towards specialists, which is true for some who have always been in this area of influence.
The PSD returns with another team, but maintains its old habits, boycotting the sanitary regulations within Parliament and went to the white sheets with the increase in pensions by 40% and teachers’ salaries by 20%, with the risk of blowing up the country’s budget, although the Social Democrats left the government leaving the treasury almost empty.
Populist measures and promises have always helped the party to further mobilize its constituency. The PSD has more than 1,300 mayors it hopes to draw people to the polls: them and the round televisions, which it often finances, even with public money, as Gabriela Firea, the former mayor of the capital, did for years.
Unlike the PSD electorate, who need direct impulses to go to the polls, USR-Plus voters are self-sufficient. USR strategists understood that to increase their number of votes, they should not appeal to the undecided, but to voters disappointed by the PNL, which is why almost the entire USR-Plus campaign was against the liberals.
Polls are volatile because participation is unclear and daily events have unpredictable effects. Estimates suggest that Social Democrats and Liberals are very close to each other, around 30%.
NLP is declining due to the inability to keep the epidemic under control. So the drama of the fire in Piatra Neamţ, which the Liberals did not even accept with resignation, angered many people. There was widespread unrest after the government’s decision to close the markets, keeping the shopping centers open. The liberal clientele, which was taken advantage of during the epidemic crisis, the politicization of executive positions in which they had to be specialists, the closing of schools, without ensuring the necessary endowments for children from poor families are problems that disadvantage NLP.
Finally, the hierarchy of the two traditional parties, after counting the votes, will not really matter if the difference is not significant, because the president has the opportunity to help the liberals to form the government, with RSU or only with UDMR, PMP and minorities, depending on the results.
However, Klaus Iohannis will have a chance to juggle the name of the future prime minister, if NLP comes in second. For example, you could nominate someone else in place of Ludovic Orban, who doesn’t particularly like you. However, this move is risky because the current NLP leader won the European and local elections, made lists for Parliament, and won the loyalty of his party. Traian Băsescu removed Emil Boc from the game in a similar fashion and replaced him with Mihai Răzvan Ungureanu in 2012, and the effect was almost immediate: PDL lost the government.
For the current president, a similar scenario would be a disaster, because it would explode a possible great objective: the Constitution of Iohannis, destined to remain in history.
Sabina Fati – Deutsche Welle
