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FiveThirtyEight.com, one of the most popular survey and statistical data sites, has developed its own reporting system in which it centralizes more information, surveys and statistical data and through which it has carried out no less than 40,000 simulations. of the elections to see what the possible results are.
In addition to the final prediction (favorite Biden, Trump with only 10% probability), FiveThirtyEight.com has also developed an interactive tool that gives users the ability to manually set the winner of the 14 key states (swing-states) where the difference between the two candidates is small.
Based on the forecasting model used, the site recalculates the odds for each candidate.
The hottest states that could definitely tip the balance are Pennsylvania (20 voters) and Florida (29 voters).
– Assign the winner of each state by clicking on the face of the candidate (cartoon) and see how the chances of each candidate change and the final forecast of the presidential election.
– Use the “RESET” button to delete the choices made and select different scenarios.
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