Has Bucharest exceeded the incidence rate of 3 COVID-19 cases per thousand inhabitants? The two different official data on the population of the Capital – Coronavirus



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According to official Statistics data, as of January 1, the resident population in Bucharest, that is, those who actually live within the territorial administrative limits of the Capital, was 1.83 million inhabitants. Compared to this figure, the incidence of COVID-19 cases in the last 14 days is 3.11 per thousand inhabitants, that is, above the 3/1000 limit that would require the quarantine of the city. Instead, the government insists on using an irrelevant figure for the current situation: population per residence: 2.1 million people.

According to INS and INSP data for Bucharest:

  • POPULATION AFTER HOUSE (1.01.2020): 2,151,665 people / INSP: 2.65 COVID-19 cases per thousand inhabitants
  • RESIDENT POPULATION (1.01.2020): 1,831,447 people / INSP: 3.11 COVID-19 cases per thousand inhabitants.

According to INSP, the two notions have the following definitions:

  • Population per household – represents the number of people with Romanian citizenship and domicile in Romanian territory, delimited according to administrative-territorial criteria. The domicile of the person is the domicile in which he declares that he has the main residence, noted in the identity card, as it is registered by the administrative organs of the state. In other words, population by domicile represents the de jure population, which can also include emigrants.
  • Resident population – represents the totality of people with Romanian citizenship, foreigners and without citizenship, who have their habitual residence in Romanian territory. namely the resident population represents the de facto population that excludes emigrants, but includes immigrants.

On Tuesday morning, the INSP released the report of the last 14 days of COVID-19 cases in the country’s counties. Thus, for Bucharest, compared to the resident population, the incidence was 3.11 per thousand inhabitants.

Subsequently, the Strategic Communication Group transmitted the daily coronavirus balance in which it assured that the rate is actually 2.69 per thousand inhabitants.

Immediately afterwards, the INSP modified its own report and introduced another column: the incidence reported to the population per household – 2.65 which was close to the same rate transmitted by GCS.

However, as defined by the INS, the population by residence is the one that represents the population de facto – the actual situation on the ground. That is exactly what should matter: how many people actually live within Bucharest’s borders, and not how many people appear only in writing who live in the capital.

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