The most important thing is to keep the transmission rate below 1%



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To discuss the closure of the epidemic, the most important thing is that the transmission rate remains low below 1%, Alexandru Rafila told Digi24. At the same time, if 90% of people wear the protective mask, the circulation of the virus, in a few weeks, stops.

Alexandru Rafila, member of the Executive Committee of the World Health Organization: “We must keep this index below 1 or not exceed it in the usual way, because then the number of cases will decrease and we will be able to discuss the closure of this epidemic.”

To have such prospects, the transmissibility index should be at lower values, 0.6-0.7, so that you can expect that in the meantime you can discuss the elimination of transmission in a country. “

Regarding the relaxation measures proposed for the period immediately after May 15, Rafila expressed his conviction that these measures will be modified until their adoption.

“There are no perfect measures to avoid the possibility of transmitting the infection, just as there is no safety for any human activity.”

The third element was related to compliance with the measures. There are studies that show that if the protective mask is used by 90% of people, the circulation of the virus stops in a few weeks.

If 80% follow or use the mask correctly, things stop and if less than 80% use it correctly, the number increases. “

Regarding schools, Rafila specified that, especially if the proposed program is only three hours a day, so that the access procedure does not take long, even if the temperature is measured, it is washed on the hands. If the access procedure takes two hours, the actual work is no longer possible.

Regarding the reopening of the churches, Rafila said there will be no problems, especially if the world respects the distance between those who participate.

“When it comes to means of transport, I am quite reluctant. It is one thing to recommend, and quite another, to be able to provide sufficient means of transport, often enough, to allow these measures to be applied. As regards transport, it will be one of the most sensitive elements in the implementation of the recommended measures. “

G.M.

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