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Although Joe Biden has taken the lead in Arizona, Donald Trump has not lost the battle. You can still get more votes in a state where there are a lot of mail-in votes.
Arizona has been voting for Republican presidents since 1952, with the exception of President Bill Clinton in 1996.
Now, however, it can change.
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) leads with 49.6 percent of the vote to Donald Trump’s 48.7 percent.
That equates to 29,861 votes.
In several states, Trump led solidly on election night. That leadership has shrunk dramatically since mail-in ballots began counting, and now Biden is well-positioned to become the next president of the United States.
But the percentage of mail-in votes going to Biden in Arizona is shrinking.
Because despite repeated claims by President Donald Trump (R) that mail-in votes are unreliable, Republicans in the state remain as before.
There, it has been quite common for everyone to use the vote by mail since 1992.
This is the state of Arizona now:
- There are still more than 173,000 votes in the state, according to CNN.
- 92,000 of them are in Maricopa County, which is the largest municipality in Arizona and includes the city of Phoenix.
- The new figures are expected to be announced on Saturday at 5:00 PM Norwegian time and 3:00 AM on Sunday evening Norwegian time.
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During a meeting with the president in August, Arizona Governor Doug Ducey (R) defended the use of mail-in ballots.
– 78 percent of voters already vote by mail in Arizona, but we have done so since 1992. Therefore, for several decades, we have established a system that works and can be trusted.
In 2016, approximately 61 percent of the votes were cast as absentee ballots or by mail. Then Trump won with 48.1 percent of the vote, to 44.6 percent for Hillary Clinton.
Also in 2012, more than 60 percent of the votes were cast by mail, according to Pew Research.
Thus, state Republicans have not been angered by Trump’s remarks and have continued to vote by mail.
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Voices level out
When the first votes were counted in Arizona, just over 50 percent of them went to Trump. They were probably attendance votes that were immediately counted.
It happened quickly when they began counting the mail-in ballots, where Biden received up to 55 percent of the votes.
However, when about 70 percent of the votes were counted, the trend was reversed. Biden received fewer votes and Trump received more.
Share votes that went to Trump it rose to just over 48 percent, while Biden fell to 49.6 percent. This is how it looks for a while now.
It shows that many in the Republican Party in Arizona have done the same as before and chose to cast their vote by mail, despite what Trump has said.
Trump is moving to Arizona, which is one of the states where he has asked them to continue counting votes.
This is in contrast to Pennsylvania, where Trump’s leadership collapsed and disappeared in line with the mail-in vote counting.
There are still more than 170,000 votes to count statewide. Even if Biden manages to win absolutely all of the 92,000 votes in the great Democratic constituency of Maricopa County, it is still possible for Trump to take the lead.
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Postal votes from both parties
The deadline to register to vote in Arizona was October 15, and mail-in votes had to arrive no later than Election Day to be counted.
The overview of The New York Times shows that approximately 3.9 million people were registered to vote in the state in election year 2020.
Of those, up to 3.4 million requested a vote by mail.
It is important to note that postal votes are not counted as votes cast until they have actually been cast.
Therefore, it may be the case that people who have requested a vote by mail reject it and choose to vote by physical attendance.
Figures from the New York Times show that the distribution of those who asked to vote for office is completely even between the two parties in the state.
Thirty-six percent of those who requested a mail-in ballot stated that they were registered as Republicans, while 35 percent of them were Democrats.
The remaining 29 percent did not declare party affiliation.
At the same time, the poll also shows that registered Republicans account for the majority of mail-in ballot requests in other states where Trump won, such as South Dakota (D: 33 percent, R: 47 percent), Idaho (D : 19 percent, R: 50 percent) and Nebraska. (D: 36 percent, R: 45 percent)
Some media outlets have already declared Biden the winner in Arizona. The question is whether it was not too early.
On Friday, Governor Doug Ducey thanked all Arizona voters for their patience. At the same time, he asked the national media, television channels and opinion leaders to do the same.
– Avoid the temptation to declare the winner before our electoral authorities have done their job.
– We have seen dramatic changes in results since Tuesday night. All of this underscores the importance of not completing anything in Arizona until there are final results in all municipalities, writes Ducey on Twitter.
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