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Tom Britton, professor of mathematics at Stockholm University, and Uno Wennergren, professor of theoretical biology at Linköping University, who have individually calculated how many Swedes can die from covid-19.
Among other things, Wennergren has analyzed the number of fatalities in other countries, how far the spread of the infection has gone, who can be expected to be infected and the capacity of the Swedish health system to care for the seriously ill.
– If everyone were infected, we would probably end up somewhere between 20,000 and 40,000 deaths. But maybe 50 percent will get infected, as it seems now, I think it will be between 10,000 and 20,000, Wennergren told SVT.
Britton has taken the figures from the Swedish Public Health Authority for cases of infection in Stockholm County about three weeks ago, and compared to the number of people who have died so far, as it generally takes three weeks before an infected person dies.
He concludes that mortality is approximately 0.4 percent.
– We have calculated independently of each other, but we have arrived at approximately equal numbers. I wish I could say less than 10,000, but I must say 10,000, or between 8,000 and up to 20,000, says Britton.
(© NTB)
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