Sweden’s controversial crown strategy: Tegnell realizes he could have been wrong



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Critics of Sweden’s strategy, which differs significantly from the rest of Europe, believe that Sweden is conducting a high-risk experiment.

This refutes Tegnell. But at the same time he says that the scenarios are very uncertain.

– Assessing how this disease develops is very difficult. We have always said that we produce scenarios. It’s not like weather forecasts where you have a hundred years of data that you can collect and view. . Here you look at the outside world, you see how it unfolds there and you assume it will continue in the same way, Tegnell explains to Aftonbladet.

However, he admits that the conclusion of the report that came to the Public Health Authority in September in retrospect turned out to be wrong.

In the report, the forecast was that the spread of covid-19 over the next year would come in the form of a slow spread in combination with local outbreaks.

Stage-born

But that was not the case. Instead, the infection has skyrocketed in recent weeks.

Swedish hospitals are now on their knees and the death toll and sickness are on par with the most serious period this spring.

– No, there has been no such development, neither in Sweden nor elsewhere. We always did risk assessments based on scenarios that were at the time, Anders Tegnell responds on the failed forecasts.

The corona pandemic has so far killed 6,622 people in Sweden. In the last 24 hours, 67 new corona-related deaths and 5,841 new cases of infection have been recorded in Sweden.

– We can expect a change

Swedish health authorities expect the summit to be reached in a few weeks.

– The spread of the infection has increased in the last month and a half. We can expect a change of course and depending on the scenario, it could happen in two to two and a half weeks. The scenario is based on our having a good following and a good distance in society, says the head of the Public Health Agency, Johan Carlson.

A significant difference between the management of the Swedes and, for example, the Norwegian strategy, is that the authorities have relied heavily on recommendations and encouragement. Furthermore, Sweden has introduced fewer restrictions and bans.

– This is a disease that will persist for a long time.

Tegnell is pessimistic, although more vaccines will be available soon. He believes it all depends on vaccination coverage, how good the vaccines will be, and how long the immunity will be.

– I believe that this disease will always have the potential to generate outbreaks in environments where many people gather. We have been clear that this is a disease that will persist for a long time, Tegnell stresses.

It refers to a Harvard study that concludes that the world should expect crown buds perhaps until 2025.

Explains the spread of infection with high immigration.

In an interview with the British magazine New Statesman, Tegnell speaks of the high proportion of immigrants in Sweden as one of the explanations for why the virus has spread faster than in neighboring countries.

– We had a great broadcast in Stockholm at the beginning, which was much more similar to what you saw in London, Amsterdam and Brussels. Stockholm and these other cities have large populations from other countries, which is important because the spread is greater and faster among these populations.Tegnell said.

Löfven: – We are moving towards darker times

On November 11, the Prime Minister of Sweden, Stefan Löfven, delivered a very gloomy speech in which he warned the population of what was to come.

– Unfortunately, we seem to be heading into darker times when it comes to the spread of infections. All curves go in the opposite direction. This runs the risk of turning black as night, Löfven warned.

Read also: Anders Tegnell to resign: – I have to think carefully

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