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The metropolitan area fares worse in a new forecast.
Sweden adopted a completely different strategy for coronary treatment than most other countries in the world and hoped that so-called herd immunity would outpace the virus.
But the controversial and often criticized strategy has not worked. This week, Sweden surpassed 6,600 crown-related deaths. This corresponds to 65 deaths per crown per 100,000 inhabitants, that is, more than ten times more than in Norway.
As a result of the large preliminary discrepancy in the number of deaths between 2019 and 2020, Statistics Sweden (SCB) has decided to prepare a report with life expectancy forecasts in Sweden for 2020.
Also read: Sweden presents a new scenario: it believes that the peak of infection will arrive in December
And the grim prediction is that life expectancy in Sweden will likely decline in 2020, writes Statistics Sweden in a press release.
The forecast is based on the evolution of the number of deaths in the period from January to August of this year. The evolution of the number of deaths in the given period of time indicates a decrease in life expectancy for both women and men in 2020, according to Statistics Sweden.
The estimate of deaths in the remaining four months is based on the number of deaths in the corresponding period for 2019.
– In our main forecast, in addition to the observed deaths, we have included the deaths from October to December 2019. But depending on the assumptions made for the last months of the year, life expectancy may be higher or lower than that, says the Statistics Sweden demographer Örjan Hemström in a sentence.
But the increased spread of covid-19 that we see now may also lead to more additional deaths during the last two months of the year, which may result in even lower life expectancy in 2020, says Hemström.
Prognosis: Decreases for both sexes.
According to Statistics Sweden’s forecast, life expectancy will fall from 84.7 years to 84.4 years for women and from 81.3 years to 80.8 years for men.
For men, it is roughly an elimination of the large increase in life expectancy that we saw in 2019, that is, a return to the 2018 level. For women, the reduction is somewhat less. Still, this could be the biggest reduction since 1944, says Hemström.
Life expectancy in Sweden has gradually increased from 1900 to 2019. The fact that it is now apparently decreasing will be a deviation.
– There are certain years and short periods of stagnation or reduction in life expectancy. But it is still unusual for life expectancy to drop by two years, Hemström says.
In the period from January 1 to August 31, there were almost 6,500 more deaths than in the same period in 2019. If adjusted for the expected population increase, there will be 4,500 additional deaths.
Also read: Storavis put Tegnell against the wall – compared Sweden to Norway
Falling 1.2 years in the Stockholm region
The high death rates from January to August indicate that life expectancy will decrease in several regions of Sweden. In some regions, however, there is likely to be an increase. In Västerbotten County, an increase is estimated compared to 2019 figures.
While in Stockholm County, life expectancy is estimated to drop by 1.2 years, from 83.7 years to 82.5 years.
Stockholm County is the region with the most deaths in Sweden. Figures from the National Board of Health and Welfare show that 2,575 people have died as a result of the crown in Stockholm County as of November 23.
In the Södermanland, Jönköping and Uppsala regions, a further reduction in life expectancy is also expected compared to the average for the rest of the country in 2020.
For the whole country, as mentioned above, life expectancy in Sweden for 2020 is 84.4 years for women and 80.8 years for men, according to the projections.
Also read: The desperate Swedish prime minister does not have the legal authority to introduce a total blockade
Data on the infection situation in Europe
These countries are currently experiencing the highest infection pressure in Europe, ordered by the number of corona infections per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days. (Figures in parentheses show the number of deaths per 100,000 in the same period.)
* Montenegro: 1,277 infected (16.6 dead)
* Luxembourg: 1,266 infected (13.8 dead)
* Georgia: 1,226 infected (13.1 dead)
* Serbia: 1,008 infected (5.4 dead)
* Austria: 988 infected (11.6 dead)
* Slovenia: 979 infected (17.0 dead)
* Croatia: 951 infected (14.9 dead)
* Lithuania: 837 infected (7.1 dead)
* Poland: 805 infected (16.3 dead)
* Portugal: 796 infected (10.0 dead)
* Switzerland: 769 infected (14.6 dead)
* Italy: 750 infected (15.0 dead)
In Norway, there have been 147 new cases of infection and 0.6 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days.
For the other Nordic countries, the figures per 100,000 inhabitants are 621 infected and 2.6 dead in Sweden, 280 infected and 0.8 dead in Denmark, 78 infected and 0.4 dead in Finland and 48 infected and 0.6 dead in Iceland.
So far, 60,526,943 people have been diagnosed with infections worldwide. 1,422,753 people have died so far in the pandemic.
Source: European Office for Infectious Disease Control (ECDC)
(© NTB)
Life expectancy in Norway
By comparison, life expectancy in Norway for 2020 is 84.68 years for women and 81.19 years for men, according to statistics from Statistics Norway (SSB).
The National Institute of Public Health writes that life expectancy in Norway has “increased more or less continuously over the past 170 years, only interrupted by the world wars and the Spanish flu in 1918.”
Furthermore, they write that social differences in life expectancy have increased in the post-1960 period. Norway has also dropped some notches in the world rankings.
“In the period after 1960, Norway went from having the highest life expectancy in the world to finishing slightly lower in the world rankings. Norway has had a less favorable mortality development in the younger and older age groups than the other OECD countries ”, writes the National Institute of Public Health in the article Life expectancy in Norway.
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