Six things you need to know about the American elections

Now there are only a few days left until Donald Trump or Joe Biden are elected as the next president of the United States.

November there are days Many Americans have been waiting almost four years.

So maybe we know who wins the presidential election.

You should know this about the American elections before the votes are counted.

1. Election is not about getting the most votes.

Hillary Clinton received the most votes in 2016, but that doesn’t really mean anything. Trump won because he got a majority of the so-called electoral votes.

The presidential election is not an election, but more than 50. Each state has a “weight”, which is equal to the representation of the state in Congress. Wyoming has three electoral votes, while California has 55.

Washington DC has no state, senatorial, or voting rights in the House of Representatives. But they still have three electoral votes.

The sum is 538, and it takes more than half, 270, to win.

The main rule is that the winner of a state takes all the electoral votes.

2. Vippestatar

We can already say that Trump will win in Oklahoma, West Virginia and Wyoming. Biden will win in California, Massachusetts and Hawaii. States that are really unsafe, because the battle is even, are called inflection states.

And the states of tilt can go both ways.

In 2020, there will be many such tab statuses. The nine densest campaigns take place in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin. Also, Nebraska and Maine still have a district that is stuck.

In total, these tilted states (and districts) represent 165 electoral votes.

3. This wins the polls

National polls don’t mean much. It is state polls that show who wins and who loses.

Joe Biden has had a steady lead there for several months. The exceptions are Florida and Pennsylvania, where Trump has participated in Biden in recent weeks.

You will probably have to win both in order to run for president.

In 2016, the measures of the “bar”. According to Fivethirtyeight, there was a 70 percent chance that Clinton would win. So she lost. What is important to keep in mind when evaluating the model is that unlikely results are not impossible.

Now Trump is on the list with a 12 percent chance of winning. This means that Trump wins the election in 12 out of 100 simulations. It will be surprising if Trump wins. That is unlikely. But that is far from impossible.

4. It’s not just about the president

The President of the United States is the most powerful person in the world. But the most powerful in the US capital, Washington DC, is in the Senate.

Today he is Mitch McConnell, Republican and Senate Majority Leader.

In addition to electing a president, voters must also change the makeup of Congress, which largely dictates how much a president can do.

All 435 members of the House of Representatives are ready for elections. Democrats rule today.

35 of the 100 Senate seats will also be elected. Republicans have a majority there now.

According to polls, Democrats are very likely to stay in the House. They also have a good chance of regaining the Senate.

Democrats can thus get the president and a majority in both houses of Congress. If that happens, Joe Biden has a good chance of complying with his policy.

5. What do the candidates represent?

At the beginning of the election campaign, Joe Biden spoke mainly about the reunification of the United States and the repair of international relations that Trump has damaged. He made the corona pandemic more concrete in his attacks on Trump and uses the president’s handling of the virus for all it’s worth.

Much of the next presidential term will be about the coronavirus and rebuilding the economy.

That’s why it’s similar to when Hov Biden was Barack Obama’s vice president in 2008. At that time, the financial crisis had turned the world economy upside down.

Looking away from the pandemic, Biden’s main problem is expanding the availability of health insurance.

Donald Trump says he wants to replace Obama’s health care bill, but has the advantage of presenting a plan for how it will be done.

Republicans did not adopt a party program at their national convention this year. They wanted to support the “Trump vision.”

6. This happens on election night

The first polling station closes in Norwegian time, at night until Wednesday, November 4. So Joe Biden will probably get the winner in, say, Virginia and Vermont. Trump’s ballot papers from Kentucky will be delivered almost immediately.

The most important thing that happens at one is that most polls close in Florida. Then we’ll quickly see how the roughly seven million anticipated votes are distributed.

North Carolina closes at one thirty.

If Biden wins one of the two states, he will most likely be elected president.

More and more states will close their polling stations for every hour that passes. But it may take several days before the final result is ready.

States like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin count more slowly than Florida, and in Pennsylvania they will count votes received several days after the election.