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By Thursday, it will probably be clear who will be declared the winner of the US presidential election. Election experts and voting institutes have held Joe Biden a clear favorite for weeks and months. But Trump’s extreme campaign streak has led to an exceptional election thriller.
– You can only lose if you are cheated
– Somewhere I think you know you’ve lost. But he does so to cast doubt on the outcome of the election and to say that he can only lose if he is cheated. He’s said that all the time, and then there’s a lot of noise says emeritus professor of constitutional law, Jørgen Albæk Jensen, to Ekstra Bladet.
Only a few hours after the closing of the first polling stations, the first results arrived. The shocked Democrats had to watch Trump advance in the important state of Florida. In the end, the Republicans were able to capitalize on a superior victory.
So one message scored better than the other in terms of Republican eyes. But this was likely because Election Day votes were the first to be counted in several states.
– The way I see it, we have already won, said Trump in his first speech on election night, long before the election results were made in most states.
– Not very likely to be successful
When the count took the large number of early votes, a total of more than 100 million, which is historically high in the United States, Trump’s winning fortunes changed. Instead, it was Biden’s voters who dominated the ballot. It has made Trump furious.
However, several experts believe that Trump’s anger and threats of prosecution will likely fall to the ground and not reach the judiciary, but that the threats could create chaos and divisions, and undermine confidence in the electoral system.
– They take a risk now just to see if something works. Trump will do almost anything to the end. But it is not very likely to be successful, American political scientist and expert Merrick Tabor of Stockholm University tells Aftonbladet.
It points out that the court establishes strict requirements to be able to demonstrate that electoral fraud has occurred.
– It takes a lot to show that electoral procedures should be declared invalid. If one can prove that some states have handled elections in a way that is inconsistent with their legislation or basis, one has a chance if one can actually show that there have been large-scale cheating. But there’s very little to suggest that now, Tabor tells Aftonbladet.
Republican lawyer criticizes Trump’s strategy
Noted Republican election lawyer Ben Ginsberg admits in an interview with CNN that the chances of bringing a lawsuit against the conduct of the election are very limited.
– Admitting losses is not a possible way so soon after the election, therefore many subpoenas are released in the hope that some of these will go well.says Ginsberg.
The same man warned his own party colleagues two days before the election in an interview with the Washington Post. There, he described the attempt to suppress votes in the 2020 elections under the guise of electoral fraud as shameful.
– They do not try to facilitate the vote of citizens. Instead, they try to create barriers and exclude ballots postmarked on Election Day., but received later according to state deadlines. This cannot be justified by rhetoric about widespread fraud, Ginsberg warns in the newspaper.
Video: Biden leads: Trump trusts the Supreme Court
– I would say that the chances of that happening are zero percent.
On Thursday, the situation is this: Biden only needs six voters to be declared the winner. It also includes the victory in the state of Arizona, which only the AP news agency has concluded, but the count is still ongoing and has yet to be officially confirmed. Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia are still unclear, but Biden only leads in three of the four states.
Trump’s gunmen have already filed lawsuits in several different variants against the conduct of the election, which they believe the Democrats have stolen. Trump himself has used the word “fraud” about the election results in several states where he has lost by a narrow margin. In addition, Republicans have demanded an immediate end to vote counting.
– You cannot imagine that there are courts across the United States that will stop an ongoing vote count, Emeritus professor of constitutional law, Jørgen Albæk Jensen, tells Ekstra Bladet.
He believes the chances are now microscopic that the Trump administration could have an impact on their demands.
– It’s pretty unheard of, and I’d say the chances of that happening are zero percent. Therefore, I can well understand all the people who react heavenly when they hear this. This may be something you would expect from Erdogan or Lukashenko, but not from the President of the United States.says Jørgen Albæk Jensen.
Norwegian Expert: – Nothing to indicate extensive electoral fraud
Although Trump and his advocacy have announced that they will order the Supreme Court to stop the vote counting, experts believe the lawsuit will never be honored.
– Unfounded accusations of systematic shortcomings, especially by the incumbent president, including on election night, damage public confidence in democratic institutions, said the chief observer for the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) , Michael Georg Link.
Trump’s chances of winning are now shrinking as the remaining postal votes are counted in the important shifting states of Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona and Georgia.
Before the election, Democrats urged their supporters to vote early, while Republicans called for an election day instead.
– There is nothing to indicate extensive electoral fraud as Trump claims. Both sides have observers in tallying rooms, and so far only Trump has said so.says Tore Wig, who is a professor of political science at the University of Oslo for NTB.
– One of the most embarrassing defeats in history.
Hilmar Mjelde from the Norce research institute has the same conclusion.
– The charge of cheating is nonsense. Trump wants the votes for him to be counted and the votes for Biden to be rejected. American democracy has eroded under Trump as a result of his attacks on the electoral process, the media and the principle of power distribution, Mjelde tells NTB.
The United States Supreme Court has previously ruled that the state of Pennsylvania has the opportunity to count all votes received up to and including Friday, even if they are not postmarked after Election Day.
One of the attorneys on Joe Biden’s team leaves Trump’s strategy with a slim chance.
– Trump will suffer one of the most shameful defeats that a president has suffered in the country’s Supreme Court, says former White House adviser Bob Bauer, according to AFP.
Meanwhile, Americans and the rest of the world await the final outcome of the elections after the current suspense elections in the United States.
Video: Trump claims to have won the election, although many votes remain to be counted
