Coronavirus, covid-19 | How deadly is the crown? New research provides new answers



[ad_1]

Extreme differences, but what matters most is age.

In a new article published in the renowned scientific journal Nature from several renowned countries and institutions such as Cambridge and Johns Hopkins, they tried to discover how different the mortal crown is.

They have collected data from 45 countries, including Norway, and 22 studies that have tried to map how many of them have actually suffered from coronary heart disease.

Also read: Nakstad believes that many will have received the coronary vaccine in April

Extreme differences in the prevalence of the disease.

Researchers say it is very difficult to make good estimates. The obvious challenge is that there is a big difference in how good the test activity is, but several elements come into play: There is a big difference in where in the population the disease has spread and how the population is made up.

Also read Gunnar Stavrum’s comment: This is the terrifying curve that caused Erna Solberg to sound the crown alarm.

The researchers also write that the use of nursing homes in a country makes one more vulnerable to outbreaks among those most vulnerable to outbreaks in institutions, while less use of nursing homes increases the risk of not reporting. deaths from covid.

– Considering the demographic composition of each country, we find that the mortality rate is higher for countries with a larger population such as Japan (1.09 percent) and Italy (0.94 percent), while the lowest mortality rate is found in Kenya (0.09 percent), the researchers shout.

Read: Alarming Infection Rates: – Features Oslo Social Shutdown

Click the pic to enlarge.  Estimated mortality in different countries

Estimated mortality in different countries, but with considerable uncertainty. NIPH estimates in Norway have previously been 0.31 percent.
Photo: (Nature)

The researchers’ figures also show that there are extreme differences in the extent of infection in different countries.

While most countries in Europe have only had a small percentage of the population infected, figures show that up to 63% of Peru’s population has contracted the disease.

Read more: Long list of new infection control measures in Bergen

Click the pic to enlarge.  Proportion of the population infected with covid-19 until September 1

Proportion of the population infected with covid-19 until September 1

The wide spread explains why the country has the second highest death rate in the world, with 1,044 deaths per million people, second only to the mini-putt country San Marino.

Mortality by age

The new report reports that there is probably a completely logarithmic connection between risk of dying and age.

– We have found that the age-specific death rate ranges from 0.001 percent in the 5- to 9-year-old age group, to 8.29 percent for those over 80, the researchers write.

These figures agree well with previous calculations.

– We estimate that the risk of death is significantly higher for men than for women, especially in the larger part of the population. The estimate for people age 80 and older is 10.83 percent for men and 5.76 percent for women, the researchers write.

In the table below, the researchers have plotted mortality on a logarithmic scale (exponential growth). This means that the graph cannot be read as constant growth with age. The death rate is around 1 percent for people ages 60 to 64, but up to 10 percent for people 80+.

Click the pic to enlarge.  NB!  Logarithmic scale

NB! Logarithmic scale
Photo: (Nature)

The overview is largely supported by actual death statistics in Norway, which show that deaths increase significantly with age.

Click the pic to enlarge.  Distribution of deaths in Norway up to November 2.

Distribution of deaths in Norway up to November 2. NB! In Norway there are many more women than men over 80 years old, which explains why the gender balance apparently exceeds 80 years.



[ad_2]