Elections In The United States – What If You “Win”?

The Economist Magazine – the most prestigious news magazine in English – says in its forecasts that there is a 96 percent chance that challenger Joe Biden will win Tuesday’s US election. The stakes are high in this election. Not only for the United States and the world, but also for a magazine like The Economist. The magazine bases its forecasts on an average of the latest opinion polls, but corrects this at the state level also for economic, health and other issues that are important to voters. And he has also tried to correct the fact that many pollsters were wrong four years ago, when Trump surprisingly won. Therefore, the height of the fall is staggering to The Economist, if Trump were to win.

But still. No one dares to take Trump’s defeat for granted. One reason is that despite unanimous opinion polls that you will lose, you can still win. Another is that he may try to manipulate himself to victory if the result turns out to be even on election night. American observers call “Red Mirage” what could happen Tuesday night. In other words, an electoral result that Tuesday night shows a Republican majority in decisive states, before early votes, mail-in votes and all votes in big cities have been counted.

The reflection of the air is In other words, what may seem like a Trump victory is not, because it is estimated that there are many more Democrats who have voted early, who have voted by mail and who vote in the big cities, where it takes longer to count the votes. And while Trump may still have an apparent majority early in the evening in Tuesday’s recount, he may seize the opportunity to declare himself the winner. And perhaps conservative television channels like Fox News will answer for this manipulation and support Trump in what later that night may turn out to be part of Trump’s arsenal of “alternative facts.”

And we have a recipe on what could be conditions similar to a civil war, with armed groups of white racists supporting Trump and taking steps to support his “truth.” And groups of armed blacks who will act against those who support Trump. When Trump in the first presidential debate on September 29 was pressured for his support for racists, he had this to say about the Proud Boys group: “Take a step back and get ready.” This was perceived as a statement of support by the armed racist group.

An unclear result it’s a situation that Trump has long been preparing for. He has always said that he will not necessarily respect a defeat. Instead, he has said, “We will have to wait and see.” And he has described post-voting as “so easy to fool”, and thus prepared the ideological reason why many of them in a given situation can be rejected.

With a uniform result There are many places where you can take advantage of this situation. One of the most obvious is the city of Philadelphia in the transitional state of Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is a state that Trump must win if he wants to have any chance of continuing as president. There, Biden leads the polls between four and six percentage points.

But in the big city Philadelphia, home to more than one and a half million people, estimates that about 70 percent of voters vote democratically. At the same time, an estimated 400,000 voters this year will vote by mail, what Trump has characterized as “misleading votes.” And Pennsylvania doesn’t start counting mail-in ballots until polling stations are closed and cast mail-in votes are valid even if received three days after the election, the state’s court system ruled.

Here the table is set for an aerial trumpet view. And for cultivating Trump’s “alternative facts.”