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More than 200 deaths, every day. More than 49,000 new cases of corona, every day. It is Britain’s worst nightmare, and if the country continues as it is now, the nightmare will come true in mid-October.
This is Patrick Vallance’s warning to the British government and Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Vallance is the government’s top scientific adviser and delivered the warning in front of both Prime Minister Johnson and the British press on Monday, Sky News writes.
Duplication of infected
From him to Johnson, senior adviser Vallance brought numbers with him, and the numbers talk was crystal clear.
Right now, around 3000 new corona cases are detected in the UK every day, and the total number of corona infections is doubling on average every seven days.
If that trend continues, 3,000 new cases each day will now mean around 49,000 new cases every day in mid-October. October 13, to be precise, depending on the model.
That, in turn, will mean more than 200 deaths a day since mid-November, estimates the same model.
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– Requires action
The haunting chart is an excellent example of exponential growth, and the reason why the concept of “flattening the curve” is so important in the face of the corona pandemic.
– The challenge now is to ensure that the doubling time slows down and does not linger for seven days, says Vallance, according to Sky News.
The British authorities have already introduced measures that the top adviser hopes will take effect, but does not rule out new measures.
– There are already certain things that are expected to slow down the doubling period, and that will ensure that we do not experience this exponential growth and therefore end the problems that are anticipated. It takes speed and it takes action, says Vallance.
Activate the alarm
Vallance is not the only British government leader to warn on Monday.
Britain has “turned a corner” in a negative sense in the pandemic, warns the British government’s top medical adviser, Chris Witty.
The infection is increasing in all age groups and across the country, he said. At the same time, the number of hospital admissions and the number of deaths from covid-19 are increasing.
– We must break the chains of infection and act quickly. Some of the things we have to do will affect the economy and society, Witty said, according to NTB.
Here is crown free
He also said that he believes the British are facing a very challenging winter period and that the development of the infection in the country in September has reached a negative tipping point.
The UK is one of the countries in the world most affected by the corona pandemic, based on the number of corona-related deaths per 100,000 people.
At the top of the terror list is Peru with 95 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. In the UK, the number is 61 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. Norway is far down the list with five deaths, and the world average is 12, according to NTB.
