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Laurynas Jonavičius, a professor and political scientist at the Vilnius University Institute of International Relations and Political Science (VU TSPMI), says that the plans of V. Babaryka’s staff to form a party can be evaluated in several ways. It is said that achieving this would result in a clearer organizational structure.
“The Coordinating Council and the opposition movement are massive, with many different people in it, but it somehow decentralizes all the protest and probably makes it difficult to organize, achieve goals, establish mechanisms to achieve those goals and much more.
„Scanpix“ / ITAR-TASS nuotr./Viktaras Babaryka
The Coordinating Council is useful for protests, with less specific practical purposes. From a purely theoretical point of view, a party would be fine, because it is a structure with clear responsibilities, clear actors, an internal system. That would be a good example of a party system in Belarus. ” 15 minutes said L. Jonavičius.
According to the political scientist, on the other hand, it is much easier for the government to deal with a clear party structure with clear leaders. Also, it is not yet known whether V. Babaryka’s staff will be able to set up a party.
V. Babaryka, former director of the bank controlled by the Russian company Gazprom, tried to become a candidate in the presidential elections in Belarus, but was arrested in July. His chief of staff, M. Kalesnikava, joined forces with Sviatlana Cichanouskaja, wife of blogger Sergei Cichanouskis, who also sought to participate in the elections, and Veronika Capkala, wife of the former head of the High Tech Park.
AFP / „Scanpix“ nuotr./Sviatlana Cichanouskaja ir Maryja Kalesnikava
S.Cichanouskaja, who was declared the winner of the elections, was forced to leave the country; she currently works in Lithuania and Capkalos has also fled abroad.
After the elections, Cichanouskaya’s supporters formed a Coordination Council that called for a dialogue that would also discuss the organization of presidential elections. To the Presidium of the Coordinating Council Kalesnikava also belongs, she also participates in protests together with thousands of Belarusians.
Will it serve the regime?
Pavel Usov, an analyst at the Center for Policy Analysis and Forecasting, wrote on Facebook about the “demolition of the united movement.”
Instead of working in a united front to develop and elevate the Coordinating Council’s authority to influence protests, Mary Kalesnikava wraps it up with a mythical party and destroys the united movement. I believe that the creation of a party under another player, contrary to the structure of Sviatlan Cichanouskaya, serves ONLY the interests of the authorities, “writes P. Usov.
According to L. Jonavičius, it is possible that the establishment of a new party will serve the objectives of the Aliaksandr Lukashenko regime. However, the political scientist points out that so far the objectives and composition of the party are not clear.
“It cannot be ruled out that the Coordinating Council and its nucleus are also in that party. <...> It was interesting to me that Babaryka had to make a registration two months ago for the establishment of this party (he was arrested in July – last ed.).
There are many questions about whether this is a very clear strategic planning from the opposition or a non-transparent plan about who this project is, who is executing it and how it will work. There is a lot of uncertainty, we need to monitor where the party is going and then draw conclusions. ” 15 minutes said L. Jonavičius.
V.Babaryka and M.Kalesnikava announced the creation of the party “Together” (“Vmeste”) in the video that appeared on the YouTube platform on Monday. The main objectives of the party are to ensure the implementation of the constitutional reform and improve the Belarusian economy and ensure the opportunity for the people to take civic initiatives.
Pavel Latuška, a member of the Presidium of the Coordinating Council and former director general of the Janka Kupala National Academic Theater, said Tuesday that he was unaware of the party’s founding.
“Scanpix” / AP nuotr./Pavelas Latuška
“Yesterday at a press conference I spoke about the importance of turning the Coordinating Council into a social movement with legal personality. Late at night, after the Coordination Council meeting, Viktor Babaryka’s staff announced a modified initiative: create a political party. Well, then it is a political process, “said the portal. tut.by P.Latuška said, adding that he was ready to provide expert assistance to the Coordinating Council.
He said that the emergence of such a new political situation is logical, it is important that the parties appear in society with the aim of reaching power. However, P. Latuška stated that he had no plans to join her.
According to S. Chichanouskaya’s address posted on the Telegram channel on Tuesday, he is said to be positively appreciative of V. Babaryka’s initiative to form his own party. However, he says he does not agree with his claim that the opposition did not win the August 9 elections.
“In the first place, I categorically disagree with the assertion that we cannot win the elections. Everyone knows that is not the case. We won, but trying to steal our victory. That is why people went to mass protest, that is why the protests began. strikes, that’s why our entire society is protesting, from students to pensioners, athletes and businessmen. “
S.Cichanouskaya added that he did not agree with V. Babaryka’s view that Belarus must first implement a constitutional reform.
“Such an objective does not meet the demands of the Belarusian people and seems ambiguous, because today Lukashenko is trying to postpone his retirement, speaking of an incomprehensible constitutional reform for an indefinite period.”
VIDEO: S.Cichanouskaya: I am a national leader, my mission is a new fair election
Furthermore, the intention of submitting documents for the registration of a party in the near future means changing the subject of the change of government in preparation for applying to the authorities for permission to form a party. I understand that Viktaras Babaryka registered his address even before his arrest, but the authors of this statement must responsibly evaluate the political decisions that are made, ”said S. Chichousouskaja in his speech.
He called for the demands of the citizens to be met and stressed that the constitution can only be changed after fair elections.
M.Kalesnikava is a brilliant leader
According to L. Jonavičius, M. Kalesnikava is one of the most prominent actors in the protest movement. Unlike S. Cichanouskaya, she herself entered politics, apparently well prepared.
VIDEO: The armored military equipment moved into the center of Minsk, where tens of thousands of protesters gathered on Sunday.
“What he’s looking for isn’t entirely clear, but in terms of leadership, he really has a lot of potential. In my opinion, her team is really good, attorney Maksimas Znakas and those around her are serious enough about formulating goals and creating mechanisms to achieve them, ”said the VU TSPMI speaker.
The protests have not stopped in Belarus since the presidential elections on August 9. Hundreds of thousands of protesters who did not agree with the results were announced after officials announced that they had been defeated by the country’s leader, A. Lukashenko, for a long time.
In the first days, officials brutally suppressed the protests, arresting a total of about 7,000 people. people, some of them run. Protesters released from isolation and the doctors treating them denounce violence and torture.
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