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However, political scientists point out that not only are the ideas of the liberals confused in the ruling coalition, but also the games of the conservatives about representation in the European Council (EVS). Political experts believe that the largest faction in the coalition is seeking success in the 2024 presidential elections.
Double standards
Eugenijus Gentvilas, the largest of the liberal faction in the Seimas, said on Wednesday that he was not afraid to criticize the conservative partners of the coalition partners, who were seeking to change the order of representation in the European Council (EVS). E. Gentvilas stated that he would not support the law regulating the representation of Lithuania in the EVS.
Vytautas Dumbliauskas, a professor at the Mykolas Romeris University (MRU), stated on the “Žinių radio” program that he did not think that this conservative initiative would harm the work of the ruling coalition,
“Conservatives are playing a certain game, I think an electoral game. Because this fight, certainly endless, I think Gitan Nausėda will definitely not give up, it would be a defeat for him.
And what prevents conservatives, so to speak, from discussing it? Still, they have to admit that they themselves set a precedent that the president was only there for ten years. When he was their own candidate and president, their support, everything was fine, and now that there is no candidate for them, nor their man, it is wrong. It smells of double standards, conservatives must also understand that ”, evaluated V. Dumbliauskas.
The political scientist is considering that this problem will not be solved by law if not even liberals support such a law. Even the law passed would be vetoed by the president, and the rejection of the veto is unlikely to be successful.
However, the ability to solve this problem is not even the end goal. V. Dumbliauskas thinks that the 2024 presidential elections are being considered.
“The question is more relevant for TS-LKD to show that the president is not his person, at the same time points would be collected for his own person. Still, TS-LKD in 2024 will nominate, I think, the same candidate. It is desirable that this candidate is more visible, that he travels to Brussels. I think this is a debate about power, and power, like money, is never too much, ”said the political scientist.
Shouldn’t cover up
Lauras Bielinis, a political scientist at Vytautas Magnus University (Vytautas Magnus University), agrees with the idea that the issue of representation in EVS is a conservative game, covered by the words “work for the homeland.”
“Very often, under the guise of patriotic slogans or love of the country, the worst things are done. Therefore, it is better not to cover up such slogans, but just to do it in such a way that, in fact, everyone sees that it is useful.
In this case, this clash with the president does not benefit either the country or the political system. It is simply a push, an attempt to remove the president from certain positions in the name of leaving them in the hands of someone else. Why? For the future candidate and a kind of conservative property, if we can put it roughly, “said L. Bielinis.
Is it really useful?
L. Bielinis considered that G. Nausėda behaves logically without giving in to the conservatives, because yielding both to them and to the public would show that the conservatives can dominate everywhere, that the decisive word is theirs.
However, the political scientist believes that the escalation of this issue is not beneficial for conservatives.
“In this game, the conservatives are losing not only today’s tactical moment, but also their strategic accent; in the eyes of the public, they are turning negative, attacking the symbol of Lithuanian political power – the president, regardless of last name.
In Lithuania, the president is respected only because he is president. Conservatives, by behaving in this way, are ruined in the first place, “said L. Bielinis.
At that time, V. Dumbliauskas believed that this game, which can continue indefinitely, is useful for the conservatives.
“This is how they gather their electorate, because the conservative electorate voted for I. Šimonytė, G. Nausėda, not their president. In this case, it is played through people’s emotions.
The Conservative electorate is limited to a maximum of 300,000. voters – the most important thing for them is to mobilize that electorate, to attract those who do not like G.Naus personalityda as a personality in this position. I think this game will last until the elections ”, predicted the political scientist.
Coalition force
Some Lithuanian observers already doubt that the ruling coalition will survive to the end of its term; It is speculated that the Freedom Party, unhappy that some of its proposals were not accepted, will not join the opposition.
However, L. Bielinis doubts that the differences between the factions of the ruling coalition are differences that break the coalition. “I think those differences are inevitable and binding.”
“The differences, the disagreements that we can see, exist, but this coalition works. The differences provoke discussions within the coalition, that is good, because a coalition without discussions is a monolithic brick in a huge grave, ”the political scientist is convinced.
V. Dumbliauskas also doubted that the Freedom Party could get out of the ruling coalition.
“There are young but smart people there and they understand that if they leave the coalition, they will be nobody in the Seimas. 11 members of the opposition faction will not do much, “said the political scientist.
V. Dumbliauskas also positively valued that different opinions prevail in the factions, different currents operate – according to him, life is visible, ideas disputed – are good.
However, L. Bielinis points out that the Freedom Party’s set of youthful and non-traditional principles provokes, if not opposition from coalition partners, then at least an attempt to relax those requirements.
“They (Members of the Freedom Party faction – aut.past.) skillful, vivid enough, provocative to express their positions, sometimes demanding decisions without discussion. However, the coalition partners will alleviate this and balance the situation. Is it good for society in the final sense? This political party would like everything to go faster, but it is not faster “, evaluated L. Bielinis.
Descending grades
Evaluating the ratings that appeared on Tuesday, L. Bielinis said that the widely discussed decline in government ratings is not large enough to speak of a clear trend.
“So far, the fall is not that big, everything is within the margin of error, so it would be wrong to speak of an open and clear trend. There are certain symptoms, but they always exist: those in power are more criticized, more observable. There are always more claims against him ”, emphasized the political scientist.
V. Dumbliauskas considered that in such a pandemic situation, when the economy was stopped, 46 percent. The favorable evaluation of the Government by the respondents is a good result.
“It is an interesting observation that those over 65 prefer more: pensioners are satisfied, pensions are paid, the government is behaving well. And among the unpleasant, the highest percentage is occupied by people between 45 and 55 years old. It is possible to understand that young people, their children are usually of school age, many times they cannot work, during inactivity time, or children at home, climb walls ”, reasoned V. Dumbliauskas.
