When the farmers talked about their plan, they named who could help them

Meanwhile, Rima Baškienė, a former peasant woman, proposed a new plan last week. Until a consensus can be found among the opposition factions, the LVS, with 32 parliamentarians in its faction, is only a couple of Seimas members short to allow the peasants to nominate their candidate for the position of opposition leader. .

Such a plan said Delfi.lt political scientists, very probable and real, but it would solve the technical problem and not the question of the concentration and unity of the opposition.

Ramūnas Karbauskis, the president of the LVŽS himself, who participated in the discussion of the shadow government program project prepared by the peasants on Monday, assured that the delegation of the opposition leader to the Seimas board is not the objective of the peasants in yes. . However, it was not ruled out that other measures should be taken if no way is found to unite the opposition.

“The unity of the opposition is very important. If that opportunity does not arise, we will consider what to do next.” Delfi.lt R. Karbauskis said.

Why is the opposition really at odds?

“We have seen in the last legislature that those political parties that are now in opposition have had a lot of disagreements, and those disagreements will probably remain. Therefore, communication will be very complicated.
At the moment, we are seeing signs that many opposition politicians are not very in touch with each other.

Whether they speak later will depend on many factors, and even on the perception that it is difficult to achieve something working alone, on the perception that conflicts are already resolved and misunderstandings are turned off, ”said a political scientist from the Vytautas Magnus University in the opposition (VMU) Professor Lauras Bielinis.

It also had the support of the professor and political scientist from the Mykolas Romeris University (MRU) Rima Urbonaitė.

“Mobilizing the opposition requires that all potential opposition partners see the benefits. If one of the factions does not see the benefit of concentrating and giving a certain leadership chair to one of the members of the other faction, then unification it becomes very complicated, ”he said.

According to the political scientist, currently the representatives of the opposition factions believe that acting alone can earn more, so they do not want to identify and unite with someone. That is why we see a stagnant process.

“The lack of a common denominator also ruins the consolidation process. On the one hand, without an opposition leader, an opposition leader cannot work on the Seimas board because he simply does not exist. But apparently, nobody wants to give up the role of leader of the opposition to anyone, because everyone wants to be visible and brilliant, ”explained R. Urbonaitė.

Finding a common denominator is difficult

According to MRU associate professor, political scientist Vytautas Dumbliauskas, finding common ground for opposition parties is difficult for a very simple reason: their interests in the Seimas are very different.

“The Social Democrats must stay as far away from the peasants as possible. The peasants have already taken many voters away from the Social Democrats. They need to regain their electorate to maintain their position as a left-wing party in Lithuania. The Socdems need to regain their identity, differentiate themselves from the peasants and show that they are better, superior to the peasants, ”said V. Dumbliauskas.

The Labor Party, according to the political scientist, focuses on the personality of Viktor Uspaskich, who has little interest in internal political processes.

“The Labor Party is a separate player. The main objective of V. Uspaskich is the mandate of the MEP, he does not care about the opposition in the Seimas. That is why the Labor Party does not need that opposition ”, he emphasized.

R. Baškienė’s script is real

An increase in the number of members of the peasant group from 32 to 34, which would be enough to allow S. Skvernel to be appointed to the position of leader of the opposition, is, according to political scientists, a very realistic scenario.

“The setting is very realistic. But first of all, we must realize that this is the largest opposition group. Secondly, attracting two members is not that difficult, persuading is possible, it is a more technical thing, ”said Professor L. Bielinis from VMU.

Political scientist V. Dumbliauskas also agreed that this is a very real scenario. According to him, the peasants are likely to put S. Skvernel in the position of leader of the opposition, but neither the Socdem nor the workers will play with them. They will play their games.

R. Urbonaitė, a colleague of V. Dumbliauskas, admitted that such a scenario would not solve the problems of unity and concentration of the opposition.

“You can attract a couple of people, but there is another problem. “If the peasants delegate to the opposition leader only themselves and it is not a general agreement of the opposition factions, yes, they can have their own person in the leadership position, but there is no talk of any consolidation of the opposition,” he said. explained.

Who could change?

As neither the Socialist nor the Working Group currently show a desire or interest in working with the peasants through the eyes of political scientists, the most realistic thing is to see the attempts of the LVŽS representatives to attract representatives of a mixed group of members of the Seimas. Currently, the mixed group consists of 13 parliamentarians and the group is led by Rita Tamašunien representante, representative of the Lithuanian Polish Electoral Action Union of Christian Families (LLRA-KŠS).

According to V. Dumbliauskas, it is likely that the peasants will first talk to the LLRA-KŠS representatives belonging to the mixed group. In addition to R. Tamašunienė, Beata Petkevič and Česlav Olševski represent LLRA-KŠS in the mixed group.

“It is a question of the current political moment: someone from the mixed group will find it useful, someone may feel sympathy for S. Skvernelis, it is not so difficult to find two people out of 13 representatives of the mixed group. Also, let us remember the friendship of LLRA-KŠS during the last term ”, said the associate professor of MRU.

R. Urbonaitė also named other possible candidates.

“Jonas Pinskus is a politician who could really adapt and move. The only question is whether the peasants would like to take it on.

The option could be Andrius Palionis, but he is again bound by membership in the Lithuanian Social Democratic Labor Party. It is likely that the peasants themselves will first try to negotiate with the LLRA-KŠS people. Talking to them would be the most daring because they have already been with the peasants of the ruling coalition. Especially since the support of the peasants during the last LLRA-KŠS legislature was almost unconditional, now the peasants can ask for an extension of friendship ”, said R. Urbonaitė.

R. Karbauskis: we are preparing the program of the shadow government and the position of the opposition leader is not an end in itself

R. Karbauskis assured that on Monday the Peasant Party had just discussed the draft of the shadow government program. At the same time, he pointed out that LVŽS sets itself the task of presenting the shadow government program before February 16. That is when it will become clear who will become the prime minister of the shadow government.

“We think this would be very symbolic: it would be the first shadow government in Lithuania’s history to have its own program.” There have been shadow ministers, but no shadow government has had its own program.

The shadow government’s task will be to help the government come up with a possible plan on how certain issues should be addressed. If the plan is irrelevant to the government, it can simply throw it away. We want to invite people not to protest, not to rallies, but to show how certain problems can be solved. If our proposals do not suit the rulers, they will have to explain it to the public ”, assured the peasant leader.

Asked about the possibilities of an opposition agreement, the LVŽS president emphasized that the possibilities of an agreement between the factions are currently limited. At the same time, however, he emphasized that he would not seek two additional members of the faction, whose union with the peasant faction would allow him to delegate his opposition leader to the board of the Seimas.

“Social Democrats solve their internal problems, beginning with questions of values ​​and ending with leadership. The Labor leader is clearly a liberal, and there are people in the faction who think differently. Therefore, we do not really understand how an agreement could be reached between the parties. It would be easier to agree between the groups. For example, having a representative, the leader of the opposition, on the Seimas board can be a strong enough argument for an agreement.

Now only the peasant group has such a will to agree. We are waiting for the spring session, maybe that will appear in other groups. Our goal is for the agreement to be a coalition for the opposition, not for our group to gather enough people and obtain the right to delegate to its opposition leader. We already have a representative on the board, the other representative on the board is not an end in itself. Our goal is to unite the opposition to work together.

If no such opportunity arises, we will consider what to do next. However, our main goal is not to have a second person on the Seimas board. If that was our goal, we could achieve it very easily. But the goal is not that. We are very calmly waiting for the other factions to have some attitude on this issue, “explained R. Karbauskis.

We remind you that Jonas Jarutis currently represents the peasants in the Junta of the Seimas, acting as vice president of the Seimas.