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Aistis Šimaitis, data analyst and project analyst with the Project Management Group of the Government Chancellery, presented an overview of the coronavirus situation in Lithuania at the government meeting on Monday.
“The general situation, if you look at the total number of Lithuanian arrivals, we are in a similar place, where we have been for about three or four weeks. When an increase seemed to start that did not eventually turn into a big bang, that situation was stabilized again. But today the indicators show that we are gradually in the stage of a slight increase, “said A. Šimaitis.
According to the data analyst, looking at the acceleration of the pandemic, Lithuania was in the negative acceleration phase for a long time, then about a week the acceleration was positive and then it fell.
“We just realized that we were in a positive phase. <...> We are saying hello a bit, we are definitely not in the autumn stage and there is not a complete plateau ”, said A. Šimaitis.
Looking at the death statistics, according to the expert, the situation is stable recently.
“People have been dying in the last three weeks, as many as last year. The great surplus of deaths <...> now it is stabilized and the dynamics is quite similar, “said the data analyst.
According to the government representative, the situation differs from region to region, and one of the reasons is that there are different strains of coronavirus. According to A. Šimaitis, the Lithuanian version of the Spanish strain of the virus currently dominates in Lithuania.
“It has been spreading us since the summer and it is the variety that dominated the autumn wave,” said A. Šimaitis.
However, according to the expert, the growth of the British strain of coronavirus, which, according to February data, is around 15 percent. of all infections.
According to A. Šimaiitis, the British variety dominates in Marijampolė county, it is beginning to spread rapidly in Vilnius county, but, for example, in Šiauliai and Panevėžys counties it is practically absent.
However, according to A. Šimaiitis, since the results of the sequencing research lag behind the actual situation, it can be assumed that the British variety is much more widespread.
“You can say that there are many more British varieties in Vilnius than in February. It is probably dominant as well,” said the expert.
According to him, the general trend of infections is “upward”, so given the spread of the British variety, there are no preconditions for the situation to improve.
Starting Tuesday, Lithuanian residents will be able to move freely between most of the country’s municipalities, but the movement restriction has been extended to sixteen municipalities.
The government has decided that the restriction will apply to those municipalities where the incidence of Covid-19 in the last 14 days exceeds 200 cases per 100,000. population.
As of March 16, people will not be able to enter or leave the following municipalities without an important reason: Biržai district, Klaipėda city, Kupiškis district, Marijampolė, Neringa, Panevėžys city, Panevėžys district, Šalčininkai district , Širvintos district, Švenčionys district, Trakai district, Utena district, Varėna district, Vilnius city, Vilnius district, Visaginas.
On the last day, 249 new cases of COVID-19 were identified in the country, 12 people died from this infectious disease, the Department of Statistics reported on Monday.
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