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As if this were not enough, with less and less time before the parliamentary elections, the smallest and suddenly invisible parties cannot reach their constituents not only through the media, but also directly: during quarantine, any meeting or reunion, and new divisions are prohibited. or meetings, it is not necessary. Or you need to do it remotely.
This is the investigation initiated at the Telšiai County Chief Police Station after receiving a report on the possible meeting of members of a political party in the Kelmė district for the preparation and distribution of food to the residents of the Kelmė district during quarantine. About 10 people attended the assembly and quickly complained to the police. This is just one example of how difficult this time is for parties who have lost their attention.
It is true that political scientists are not yet burying the newcomers, they say, the quarantine will end soon, the political discourse will change, and the impending economic recession will melt the rulers’ qualifications. Everything, according to experts, has not yet been lost.
Algis Krupavičius, a professor at Vytautas Magnus University, says that the smallest political parties that had a good chance of breaking into the Seimas before the start of the quarantine may be biting their nails right now. Their situation is getting worse because they have no space left in the public space, they are currently invisible.
“If the small fringe parties come together, maybe they can do something else, but the question remains. For the moment, small parties should be more interested in quarantine ending as soon as possible, so that the political agenda changes and definitely change, “said the professor.
Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences of the Vytautas Magnus University prof. Algis Krupavičius (photo by Jonas Petronis)
Until now, the list of problems has been simple: quarantine, quarantine, and quarantine again. However, now Europe, as well as Lithuania, is choosing a quarantine exit strategy. The process will not be synchronous, it will be gradual, more and more “traditional” problems will arise.
“One of the biggest problems will be economic. Unemployment, personal income, the ability of social systems to respond to new challenges. Therefore, the list of issues will expand. Small and opposition parties are interested in ending to the quarantine conversation as soon as possible. And even after this, we will look back, we will see how Lithuania has been managed. Everyone will talk about it, “said the professor.
He explained that there should be enough time for the opposition and small fringe parties before the elections, unless the cards are shuffled by a second wave of the pandemic.
“It just came to our attention then. Lithuania’s steps will not completely depend on politics. If we have morbidity rates as low as we have now, pressure from the public and the opposition, the marginal parties, to ‘get out of quarantine “It will be quite strong. The rulers here will not have many options. There should be enough time before the elections, although there really will not be much of them,” said A. Krupavičius.
The political debate must also be heated, as we can see now, even with the withdrawal of the Social Democrats from the opposition agreement. This is a complete electoral step.
The professor assures that in each election the number of new protest parties is gradually decreasing, although after the 2008 crisis, the Arūnas Valinskas party came to power. On the other hand, the past elections were particularly unfavorable for the little ones, when they were devastated by an avalanche of peasants.
The new party peaked in 2000-2004, after which its wave dropped significantly.
Critic Virgis Valentinavičius says that the success of the opposition and small parties will not depend on anything else, but on the attitude of the people towards the dominant people.
“The success of the little ones depends on how unsuccessful the big ones are. I don’t think it’s a matter of time. It is a matter of people who want to hear something different. The big question for small parties is whether they will have something to say to people. If you don’t have to repeat, the little ones will have a chance. It doesn’t really depend on the time before the elections and the quality of the small parties. Its quality has been known for a long time. Everyone knows what Naglio Puteikis’ quality standard is, his chances depend on how deeply desperate a large part of the people in Lithuania are. If there will be few, if they themselves have something hopeful in the activities of the big parties, the possibilities of the small parties are modest ”, considered V. Valentinavičius.
The ruling peasants have harassed small and marginal parties in the last elections, the voices of protest were pursued by the small parties to obstruct the peasants. So if the situation in October is similar to that of autumn 2016, the little ones will not have another chance.
“Conservatives or liberals or even Social Democrats have never been successful in hunting down frustrated voices. The recovery of the rulers would be a bad sign for the smaller radical parties,” said the commentator, stressing that the most important issue here is the brand of quality of the big games, not the opportunities of the small ones.
Saulius Skvernelis, a former police officer in a quarantine situation, has increased his qualifications, but the pandemic will end, transformations and economic strategies will have to be carried out. And here, according to V. Valentinavičius, the skills of the Prime Minister are more modest. Not good at strategy, with the ability to communicate with people who need something, even more modestly.
Virgis Valentinavičius
“The grades don’t look very strong. The pandemic pushed the issue of the road, the issue of wife employment, into the background. People forgot the teachers’ strikes when he spoke to them. These things will be remembered.
Especially when it comes to budget redistribution. And what does that mean? It means that money will be taken from someone who has already been promised. What will happen to the teachers, let’s say? How will you talk to other people? That’s where the hard part begins, “said the critic.
According to him, the jump in the rankings during a fire can be turned upside down when it comes to handling ruins.
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