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Conservatives, Social Democrats and “peasants” would receive a similar number of votes (12.1%, 11.9% and 11.1% respectively. Research error 3.1% – Delphi). The fourth is traditionally the Liberal Movement (7%).
In earlier polls this year, the Conservatives repeatedly ranked third. Sociologist Vlad Gaidys has an explanation for why conservatives have returned to the ranks of the leaders.
“The migration crisis has not yet been resolved, but at that time only hundreds of people crossed the border day and night, and the situation seems completely out of control. There was even such confusion, I would say. At the moment, it is quite different, “said V. Gaidys.
However, the sociologist does not advise conservatives to be too happy.
“But there are other problems: the passport of opportunities, we will see how it will work at this time,” said V. Gaidys.
Ratings don’t spoil the government either
The ratings have not spoiled the government for some time. Almost two thirds (56.1%) of those surveyed evaluate the Government negatively and quite negatively. Only about a third (35.7%) of those surveyed view the government favorably.
“My answer is always the same”, I do not comment on the grades, either when they are very good or when someone does not see them very well. This is definitely not my job, ”said Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė.
However, the opposition comments on the government’s poor ratings.
“There are several crises that can be freely managed. And it is not only that it crosses the qualifications of the rulers, because apparently the qualifications are also irrelevant, but it also crosses the confidence in the state and increases the discontent of the people,” said Agnė Širinskienė, the representative of the “peasants”.
However, A. Širinskienė’s comment on his qualifications is poor.
“It just came to our attention then. Those ratings fluctuate within the margin of error,” he said.
Evaluate the impact of the withdrawal of Skvernel
By the way, the survey was conducted before the separation of Saulius Skvernelis and Ramūnas Karbauskis.
“Some of the people will be the ones who will be very happy about it, who will vote more in line with the so-called Ramūnas line. Others may be frustrated, less happy, ”said S. Skvernelis.
A. Širinskienė saw his strengths in the current situation.
“However, the party is working in parliament, it opposes it quite constructively.” That, I think, is a great advantage for us, ”he said.
Political scientists predict that the “peasants” will be more affected by the departure of S. Skvernelis than they imagine.
“It would be difficult to foresee a situation in which everything would somehow work out, and this would not be reflected in any way in the popularity of the ‘peasants’,” said Rima Urbonaitė, a professor at Mykolas Romeris University.
The leader of the Peasant Party affirmed that the party supported S. Skvernelis and made him political, but we will see who made him political and who contributes more here ”, added his colleague Saulius Spurga.
Social Democrats don’t fight and win
The Social Democrats, who have been back at the top of the rankings for some time, remember a proverb: while two fight, a third wins.
“We have been in the opposition for four years, and when some fights start, the third wins. In this case, we know who scratches and who doesn’t. We are not fighting and we are winning,” said Algirdas Sysas, the eldest of the Social Democratic faction. in the Seimas.
However, the elections are still three years away. More information on all qualification results can be found here.
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