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Putin regime strategists expect at least 55 percent to participate in this extraordinary vote on July 1. Russian citizens with the right to vote.
So far, surveys show that people are simply not active, but there is still time. And to boost activity, a ton of new rules have already been announced. Voting will take place over seven days, voting will be allowed from home, and residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg will be able to vote online.
The pretext is public safety in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. But it is always important to the Kremlin what impression is created, and, of course, the image of a government backed by an active society is desired.
Residents fear coronavirus
Several sources close to the Putin administration, Meduza, have confirmed that Kremlin officials plan to vote 55 percent. citizens with such a right.
Given that Russia has seen the actual results of any vote a long time ago, there is another target: that 60 percent. vote in favor of amendments to the Constitution.
45 percent Russians actually plan to participate in the vote. 21% are open to vote. citizens, and 13% are determined not to vote.
Paradoxically, there are no requirements for a minimum participation in this referendum. The amendments are considered to have been accepted in principle.
The Yuri Levada Independent Center for Sociological Research announces that 45 percent. the Russians actually plan to participate in the vote. 21% are open to vote. citizens, and 13% are determined not to vote.
Scanpix photo / ITAR-TASS / Russia prepares for referendum on constitutional amendments
The referendum was originally scheduled for April 22, but was postponed due to an outbreak of a coronavirus in Russia. True, regional Kremlin officials guessed the instructions on what activity to do.
According to Medusa, some regions have been told that they have to vote for 70%. 90% of eligible citizens. they would be required to vote on amendments to the Constitution. Admittedly, the target is now reduced to 55%. activity level and 65%. votes in favor.
“The activity must be such that it is credible,” a meditation close to the presidential administration told Medusa.
It is true that in some regions there is a fear that even so many citizens will mobilize. A representative of the ruling party, United Russia, said that in a traditional vote, 55 percent. activity will not be achieved: only 20% of your region promises to vote. people.
“The population is afraid of the coronavirus, and the debate on the amendments is over. No one is interested in them anymore, everyone has accepted what will happen,” the official said.
The temptation to falsify data
But he also assured that the new rules and procedures related, at least officially, to the coronavirus pandemic will help increase activity.
What are those changes? In particular, the vote will take place over seven days, from June 25 to July 1. On six of these days, citizens will vote from home, and there will be no need to officially explain why they will not vote on July 1.
In addition, members of electoral commissions will not request to show an identity document, they will not register, for example, passport numbers. Every hour, districts will be closed and cleaned for ten minutes, and in any case, it is recommended to allow only 8-12 people to vote per hour.
Scanpix photo / ITAR-TASS / Russia prepares for referendum on constitutional amendments
The Kremlin also allowed him to vote from home during last year’s government elections, which helped the regime increase voter turnout and ensure good performance for government-backed candidates.
And a source at Medusa in United Russia says such a rule will now increase activity by 20-25 percent. It is true, not in percentage points: “There is no possibility of reaching 55%. activity without clear tricks.
Loyal active voters are the elderly, and many of them have now gone to summer houses or gardens. Voting from home won’t help. “
An official working for the Kremlin, a political strategist in one of Russia’s regions, still claims that 55 per cent. The activity target will be deactivated in the central part of the country, where activity is already low, and in the regions where there are more protests than elsewhere.
Loyal active voters are the elderly, and many of them have now gone to summer houses or gardens. Voting from home won’t help.
And the Kremlin is said to make up for these losses by allowing online voting in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Voters are also active in the Caucasus, where they are often forced to vote.
Scanpix photo / ITAR-TASS / Russia prepares for referendum on constitutional amendments
“I think it is possible to achieve the indicator because new forms of voting can attract more voters,” says political strategist Ruslan Modin. – After all, the referendum will take place immediately after the postponed Victory Day celebrations. Voting will begin immediately after the parade, and people will be happy. “
However, according to political consultant Dmitry Fetisov, many regional officials have already understood the Kremlin’s instructions as permission to falsify voting information.
“This should increase official activity by another 10-15 percent. After all, if you don’t have to provide passport data, you will be tempted to use carousel vote, “said D. Fetisov. A carousel during an election is called a method in which the same voter votes multiple times in different constituencies.
“Tails – Awesome View”
The Kremlin strategists have also filmed several new political upheaval announcements aimed, of course, at persuading the Russians to go to the polls.
Moscow is also considering that demands for social distance could benefit the regime, since they mean that the queues will last longer than usual.
Scanpix / AP Photo / Vladimir Putin
“The queue is a wonderful image, proof that many people are voting,” said one of the so-called “political technologists” who helped organize a “referendum” in Crimea in 2014, which was annexed by Russia.
Officials sent from Moscow to Crimea closed several polling stations to form long lines with others.
The propaganda stories have already appeared on various Russian televisions, although they are not part of the official Kremlin campaign. It is true that the strategists who are required by the Kremlin to work in the provinces have not yet received any guidance.
“And we have no freedom of action, we can only do what is indicated from above. The Kremlin has already tried everything in these two months,” one official complained.
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