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It seems that this spring major floods were avoided. During the weekend, the people of Tauragė had the opportunity to observe an impressive glacier on the Jūra river, and the people of Vilnius shared the surprise that on a bridge in the capital, the Neris still looked completely frozen, and here in another, the ice floated.
On Monday, an ice cream conglomerate formed near the Seimas and the old Žvėrynas bridge, but it does not pose a great danger to anyone, unless it saddens lovers of walks along the shore.
The Neris will continue to bring Belarusian snow
According to Juozas Šimkus, a hydrologist with the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service (LHMT), the snow is already melting.
“It just came to our attention then. There is a lot of snow in Belarus, it is melting a bit and the water will still get to us. But what could have been was not and one of the reasons is that the ground was not frozen or the frost it was very fine, the autumn soil was very dry. A large part of the meltwater has been absorbed by the ground and reduced the flooding, “said the hydrologist.
Sigismund Gedvila / 15min photo / Protected coasts and ice rink in Nery
The warming was sudden and quite considerable: the weather warmed to 10-12 degrees, but the weather was anticyclonic and there was no precipitation, so no rain contributed, which could accelerate the melting of snow. Therefore, the dissolution was not very intense or fast, said J. Šimkus.
The tidal wave continues to rise. There is a lot of snow in Belarus, it is melting a little and water will still reach us. But what could not have been.
The icebreaker on the rivers has begun, in some places it has already ended.
“Already in the lower reaches of the Nemunas, near Rusne, in the Nemunas delta, the ice cream has moved, also from Jurbarkas. There may be confusion now. The Curonian Lagoon is not completely thawed yet, the climate is forecast to cool down in the near future and the northwesterly winds will strengthen, which will likely break the ice in the Curonian Lagoon. Then it will be easier to wash the ice from the Nemunas delta and there will be less chance of lumps forming, ”said J. Šimkus.
It won’t go away for at least a few weeks.
Neris did not pose much of a threat to Vilnius this year, but now he has declined even more. Currently, the coastal roads flooded, the stronger the water level is likely to rise, but, as J. Šimkus says, that water will not recede very quickly, because in Belarus, upstream of the Neris, “there are four snow standards in some places”.
Sigismund Gedvila / 15min photo / Protected coasts and ice rink in Nery
However, as the weather cools down, weather forecasters are not predicting high temperatures in the near future, snow is likely to melt slowly and for longer. Therefore, the water will fall slowly; according to J.Šimkus, it is likely that in mid-March it has risen as much as can be seen now.
Last year, there was a hydrological drought across Lithuania, when rivers dangerously sank and other bodies of water dried up. This year, at least in spring, the situation should be incomparably better.
“The meltwater will replenish all bodies of water: lakes, rivers, swamps. The levels of summer success were already observed in April last year and last year. And already in May the hydrological drought began. This definitely will not be the case this year. It is still difficult to say if there will be a hydrological drought, but if there is, it will certainly not be in spring, but in the second half of summer. However, it will all depend on the weather, how much rain there will be, “said J Šimkus.
Sigismund Gedvila / 15min photo / Protected shores of the Neris
The snow, which seemed a record for many this year, melted in a matter of days. The weather warmed up just a week ago, the penultimate weekend in February.
Read about the great Vilnius flood 90 years ago here: In Vilnius as in Venice – see what Vilnius was like during the great flood of 1931.
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