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As A. Žvirblienė said, although he does not want to scare Lithuanians, it is necessary to understand that the virus is spreading rapidly and it is only the beginning of autumn, so winter can be a difficult time.
“That’s the trend, because those numbers will double in about a couple of weeks, so if we have 300 now, we will probably have 600 in two weeks and 1,200 in two weeks,” he said.
When asked if new measures, such as the introduction of local quarantines and the reduction of working hours in bars, could slow the spread of the disease, A. Žvirblienė said: “Now it will be necessary to observe how the situation develops. If so, we see that they are doubling at that rate. “
According to the professor, it is very important that local quarantines are introduced in smaller cities, as this really stops the spread and allows control of the hotspots. However, he said, the biggest problem is the big cities.
A. Žvirblienė stated that so far it is not necessary to wear masks outdoors and that the virus itself is not spread as intensely outdoors.
“The most important thing is indoors and we see that people get infected in the workplace. And many of those fireplaces come from workplaces, which is probably not very followed by those rules, the contacts are still close, people work indoors ”, commented the professor.
Speaking about the coronavirus vaccine, A. Žvirblienė said it would be a lifesaver, but admitted that there are still many unknowns. Will it be, if so, when?
“People can get vaccinated very quickly, in two or three weeks, and protective immunity has already developed. If many people get vaccinated, at least 60 or 70 percent. Population (here’s another ‘yes’), it would stop greatly the spread of the virus and would reduce that threat ”, explained A. Žvirblienė why the vaccine is considered the main means to defeat the virus.
“But there are still many questions here: when will the vaccine be, how effective will it be? If we talk about the requirements that the European Medicines Agency plans to impose on vaccines, it will be possible to register if it is 60% effective. That is to say If 6 out of 10 vaccinated people are protected ”, added the professor.
This, he noted, means that if the vaccine is not very effective, if you vaccinate a small number of people, the virus will not stop very quickly.
The professor said there is too much talk in the public space that the vaccine will be developed soon. A. Žvirblienė says that those languages can have the opposite effect, because people feel that the vaccine is being developed in a hurry and it may not be safe to enter the market.
“It seems to me that we should just talk about the way that vaccine research really takes time and is necessary. And the vaccine can be registered only if these tests are successful ”, emphasized the professor.
A. Žvirblienė stressed that it could not be the case that an untested vaccine could be used in Lithuania or other European Union countries.
“It just came to our attention then. No matter what the serious situation here is, no one will sell the untested vaccine and will not allow people to get vaccinated with it,” said the interviewee.
On the other hand, according to the professor, talking about vaccines, their development, possible side effects is very important with those who have some doubts, but doubted whether it is possible to persuade people who categorically oppose the vaccine or deny the virus in general.
Despite the large number of infections, according to A. Žvirblienė, the situation in Lithuania is still under control. The professor said that while the strict quarantine received a lot of criticism in the spring, it certainly helped stop the spread of the virus and allowed him to prepare for the fall.
“That spread of the virus has also been controlled all the time during the summer and I really see that our epidemiologists are doing a great job. Not all European countries have such a comprehensive case analysis. (…) And the tests are done with purpose, so there are many, ”said the professor.
He recalled how Lithuania was compared to Latvia in the summer and some people said that Latvia knows how to test very well and therefore there are few cases with them.
“There were 40-50 in Lithuania, 4-5 in Latvia per day. If we look at the curve, how the number of cases looks in Lithuania and what it looks like in Latvia, then the curve in Latvia shoots up at right angles. So So it is like a compressed spring that suddenly breaks and spills boxes. Which means that these misleading numbers were actually due to something wrong with the test. Apparently, Latvians should learn from us, “said A. Žvirblienė.
The teacher said she didn’t want to scare anything, but we were seeing the current trend in cases pick up, and it’s just the beginning of fall.
“It just came to our attention then. November, December, January and February are the months that we will still be in school, at work and indoors. I think this winter season is definitely not going to be easy. But no I would like to draw very difficult scenarios. Only if this situation is very serious, it should not surprise us that there are some solutions that now do not appeal to everyone, “said the professor.
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