Scientist: Total freedom is not foreseen in Scenario C and municipalities would have to wait three weeks

He recalled that the quarantine scenario C is still strict enough.

“Let’s remember that Scenario C still has enough restrictions, some kind of (liberation, aut. P.) And total freedom is not even foreseen in this scenario.

We shouldn’t expect to be able to live like summer. But scenario C and the general trajectory of managing a pandemic are on the side of improvement. Hopefully we can release it a bit later. But you have to do it with enough caution, “said the data analyst.

Last week, the morbidity figures increased a few days. This is due to further research. V. Zemlys – Balevičius stated that increasing the scope of testing would increase morbidity indicators.

“It is worth mentioning that the scope of testing has decreased. Last week there were two days in which the number of days went out of trend. This was due to increased testing in major cities. What happened there is a good thing question.

It just shows that if you test more, you can detect more of those cases. Which means that the current figures on the basis of which we enter Scenario C are more indicative. If we upload the tests, it is very possible that they will jump, “said V. Zemlys-Balevičius on the” Delfi rytas “program on Monday.

The data scientist recalled, however, that the proportion of positive studies has now leveled off, but dropped from 20% during peak hours to 10% in recent days. And in some municipalities, that number has dropped below 4 percent.

“It just came to our knowledge then. Whatever the numbers, they are,” the expert said.

V. Zemlys – Balevičius stated in the program “Delfi rytas” that the municipalities of the country that show extremely good morbidity rates do not follow a “magic recipe”.

“If all the institutions of the municipality work and cooperate without problems, the epidemic is managed: they monitor cases, put out chimneys, take security measures, then those good results are successful. The strict restrictions we have allow us to reduce the number of infections overall. And then you have to catch the sick. In those municipalities, the number of these positive cases is not so high and the epidemic can be controlled, ”he said.

According to the interlocutor of the show, it is easier to manage the situation in small municipalities, but it will also be possible to do so in larger municipalities. He said this required more resources to track cases.

The Jurbarkas district municipality, which has perhaps the lowest morbidity rate in the entire country, announced on Friday that it would ask the government for quarantine in its municipality.

According to V. Zemlis-Balevičius, such a decision may create additional risks.

“It should be understood that in Lithuania, municipalities are closely related to economic activities. That is, if we vacate a municipality and, for example, hairdressers can start operating there, one can expect haircuts from other municipalities there. Then it will bring that virus back and the situation there will get worse, “he predicted.

“After three weeks, everyone can be released. So why bother with a municipality now? (…) There is both for and against such a consideration. This is where the government should decide. I think take one or two municipalities and watching what happens there can do that. But you need to understand the risks, “said the data scientist.

“Maybe we’d better drop the numbers all over Lithuania?” He suggested.

V. Zemlys-Balevičius also recalled another important factor: hospital employment. Although morbidity rates in the country are falling, it is the hospital employment rate that is still not very good.

“It just came to our knowledge then. (…) The signs are such that the number of cases decreases, we are going to scenario C, but we have to think very carefully about the launches. And those releases that will take place must be very controlled, the The situation is closely monitored to see if we don’t do it too soon, ”said data scientist V. Zemlys-Balevičius.