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After that weekend, businessmen and the public begin to question whether it is not yet the time to open outdoor cafes that can monitor the flow of visitors, disinfect tables and otherwise ensure order, the epidemiologist Daiva Razmuvienė suggests waiting at least one more week and looking at the morbidity statistics. Palanga.
According to her, looking at the current trends in morbidity in Vilnius County, the number of diseases may increase to 1.5-2 thousand by the end of April. new cases per day.
“I don’t think so, but I am convinced that the number of cases will continue to grow. One more week and the next we will see the effect of the release of movement restrictions in Palanga, Easter and those numbers will only be higher “, – the portal lrytas.lt confirmed the epidemiologist.
D.Razmuvienė: let’s wait for the statistics after this weekend in Palanga
When the weather warmed up, our compatriots tired of staying home closed their eyes for a short time to the increasing number of coronavirus cases every day. At the weekend, there seemed to be no quarantine: there was nowhere to park a car near the forests and nature trails, and there were people on the central streets of Vilnius just like during the city festivities.
Huge lines of them lined up around existing cafes, ice cream parlors, restaurants, and with food and drink in boxes and glasses, people sat right next to the catering establishments. The boldest café owners even set up tables in the most remote streets of the old town, where visitors buying coffee or tea were immediately seated, despite restrictions.
The epidemiologist D.Razmuvienė warns that despite the rise in temperature, the conditions for the spread of the virus remain very favorable, and the British mutation of the virus, which is spreading rapidly in Lithuania, “carries” young people who are also very sick to hospitals.
“If everything were arranged in the outdoor cafes: all the requirements, the square meters, the maintenance, the number of people, the specific procedure, what should be done and when, the Government could think, I emphasize, just think about opening the outdoor cafes. But again, this is a very difficult subject, because with the spread of the British strain, the incidence is affecting young people in particular. They are hospitalized and are also getting sick.
Therefore, I could not be completely sure when I say that everything is really quiet now. Perhaps it would be reassuring if the virus had not mutated. But for the moment, I would look at this issue with a big question mark, “said the portal. lrytas.lt D.Razmuvienė commented on the situation.
It is true that the epidemiologist emphasized that Lithuanians are very inventive people and even during the strictest restrictions they found ways to get around them, so another question arises whether in case of opening outdoor cafes they would actually follow the established rules.
“I don’t know if our people would really be that conscientious and behave the way they were told. They still need time to understand how and why it is important to follow the recommendations, how important it is to self-assess risks. But our people understand differently. They pay more attention to the high sun, longer weekends, city holidays, etc.
The mobility of people and divination has increased enormously. The virus only needs that. Knowing the prevalence of the British mutant, even low-risk people, who maintain a safe distance, communicate for less than 15 minutes, remain infected, “he said.
Due to the opening of outdoor cafes, D.Razmuvienė offered to wait at least one more week and see how the statistics of coronavirus cases will be corrected by compatriots from all over Lithuania who flooded Palanga.
“Maybe we should wait a little longer, at least a week, to see what the results will be in Palanga after this weekend. From what the police spoke, although there were many people there, they all behaved in an orderly manner, they respected each other. distances and administrative penalties were not listed.
Maybe everything will work out and think more, maybe just open some cafes, “said the epidemiologist.
The number of cases will grow as we will in the summer; it’s hard to say.
At the same time, D.Razmuvienė warned that even at the end of the month, the number of illnesses could increase rapidly, since such increases are visible after every public holiday.
“Looking at the current trends that these days there is a huge increase in the number of cases, especially in the city and district of Vilnius, the numbers are growing 2-3 times a day, they are not decreasing, so who can say What will the situation be, be at the end of April? Perhaps the number of such cases already reaches 2 thousand during the day, so talk very carefully about the opening of cafes.
I’m not saying there will be exactly that number of cases, it could be fifteen hundred, maybe two. But I don’t think so, but I am convinced that the number of cases will only continue to grow ”, the epidemiologist did not hide.
D.Razmuvienė said she was not sure whether the virus would “pause” next summer, as well as last year, and spread more slowly due to the heat, because the COVID-19 mutations brought uncertainty. However, he highlighted three main aspects that would fundamentally correct the situation.
“It is vaccination, tests and awareness. It certainly won’t be the same as last year, knowing that as the temperature rises, the conditions for the virus to spread are more difficult. But it is very difficult to say what it will be like in June and July ”, lamented the epidemiologist.
Vilnius City Mayor Remigijus Šimašius announced on Monday that the Vilnius City Clinical Hospital (VMKL) occupied almost all COVID-19 beds, half of the patients were under 65 years old.
