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At the time, political commentator Linas Kontrimas stated that he believed that disagreement on the association issue could have consequences for the entire political structure of the Seimas.
Down the hill?
Paulius Saudargas, a member of the Lithuanian Christian National-Democratic Union (TS-LKD) faction, will not support the current version of the Association Law; According to him, after registering the association “start from the hill” and move towards equating association with marriage and family.
“To a large extent, this (Law on companies – aut.past.) Is copied from the definition of marriage – that’s worrying. Because today in Lithuania, in the constitutional sense, it is clear what marriage is: the family arises from marriage , which is formed between a man and a woman, from fatherhood, motherhood.
In this case, it is as if trying to circumvent the Constitution by registering a society, an institute that becomes a complete alternative to marriage between a man and a woman. Especially since the association can consist not only of heterosexual couples, but also homosexual ones ”, – assured P. Saudargas.
According to him, the experience of other European countries shows that when a country legalizes a couple, in the long run it equates to marriage, which creates conditions for adoption, the application of assisted reproduction procedures.
Important also for other groups
Andrius Mazuronis, a member of the opposition faction of the Labor Party, said the party council had decided not to approve the proposed legal regulation.
“Although we see some gaps, because now the way of life, when people live single, men raise children with women, accumulate wealth, develop material well-being, and ten years later, in a crisis like this, a woman is usually in danger a weak position – both in the sense of division of property and in other ways.
“Having raised children all the time, taking care of a family, she did not have time to make a career, to take care of her material well-being, she is in a weak position when such a relationship collapses, so there must be legal regulation to help protect her” said A. Mazuronis.
“However, what is now being proposed … is only a first step, and it is clear from the wording that further steps will be taken to further legalize the relationship between homosexual couples, not just in society,” he added.
According to A. Mazuronis, as an alternative, a narrower project in the Seimas could be considered, which solves only the economic problems of coexistence.
Will you divide it in half?
According to A. Mazuronis, when considering this Association Law, the factions of the Labor Party and the Lithuanian Green and Peasant Union (LVŽS) will not unanimously support this bill.
“However, the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) faction will probably agree as much as I heard in the discussions.” I am sure there will be many faction members in the ranks of the TS-LKD, who will also disagree. ” , he predicted.
According to him, the proportion of those who vote for and against only at the presentation stage will be very close. “Obviously, the decision, at least at the presentation stage, will definitely be decided by a few votes, certainly not by dozens,” he is convinced.
P. Saudargas agreed that the TS-LKD is a mixed party, there are different opinions in the faction and it is still difficult to say how the conservatives will vote.
“I think the real balance will be reflected after the vote in the Seimas. Until then, it is difficult to say: not all colleagues have expressed their views publicly. I think that in general the Seimas will share 50/50 on this issue” , considered Paudaudas.
But if the governing law does not agree with a law of association, how strong is that coalition?
“There was no commitment, especially on issues of value, to vote equally for everyone; I think this will not weaken the coalition. Maybe it will just crystallize, we will vote, it will be one way or another, and those tensions can take off when this issue is already it is not on the agenda, ”said P. Sargargas.
Mazuronis also said that voting on this issue would say nothing about the ruling coalition. “The associations have never been unequivocal. It is obvious that there will be divisions both on the side of the ruling majority and, apparently, of the Social Democratic faction,” predicted A. Mazuronis.
Space for political games
For his part, the communication specialist Linas Kontrimas said that if the Seimas rulers unite, the Association Law could go to the end, but there are a number of obstacles: the probable fragmentation of the rulers, the opposition that says no will support the law, and a possible presidential veto.
Could this likely divergence of views have political implications?
“Look at what is happening on the side of the opposition: we see a new faction that immediately said they had no problem joining the opposition. Is it just the structuring of the Seimas or is it the preparation for the elections? Perhaps one can be created common list from that group later on? ”commented L. Kontrimas.
“However, everything can also happen on the side of the rulers; it may be that emotions and political and valuable interests not only divide the gap, but also form certain bright factions. We have already seen it, a group of has formed. nationalists in the same faction of the National Union, “he added.
According to L. Kontrim, voting on this issue will show how much the ruling coalition can work at a table.
“It will be very interesting because I don’t think they hide the internal discussion. “It can also be an interesting game for the opposition, because they can see specific people on the office side, with whom it is possible to start negotiations on further political cooperation,” commented L. Kontrimas.
The communications specialist does not rule out that not only the issue of the Association may divide the ruling coalition, but it is likely that other issues, such as the minor decriminalization of drugs, want to stand out among the factions of the ruling coalition.
“If this discussion happens next year, we will have a clear puzzle: the municipal elections are approaching and all the parties will try to stand out. There could be very serious confrontations here, which will simply alienate the factions,” he predicted.
Can you expect a difference of opinion in the vote on the Association Law in the Peasant Group? L. Kontrimas considered that some politicians of the faction have a different opinion to the common position of the faction, but, according to him, it would not be worth it for such politicians to separate from the party, since they could drown in a great policy. flow into other choices.
“Those contradictions on radical and cardinal issues that also arise in the opposition, will have to be combed and coordinated in the long term,” commented L. Kontrimas.
“We will see if this is just a spear from left to right, or if we begin to think that certain legal aspects of our state can be regulated so that some of our population feel more comfortable,” he concluded.
On Friday, a bill on marriage was registered in the Seimas, which would legalize the union between men and women and people of the same sex. The project defines a partnership as an officially registered fact of the coexistence of two people, with the aim of creating, developing and protecting a partnership relationship. Read more about it here.
