[ad_1]
“If now there are a series of districts where the conservatives are first, and even more where they have their candidate (up to 56), that does not mean that they will have those seats. Even if half of them won, it would be very good, because we cannot predict the distribution of the votes of those people who will not have their candidate, who voted in the first round “, says R. Urbonaitė in the program” Delfi diena “.
According to her, the second round is not convenient for the conservatives: “In Kaunas, except in one constituency, there are struggles between conservatives and” peasants. “In 2016, this struggle ended very painfully for the conservatives. <…> Much can depend on it, here there will be very important duels, “says the political scientist.
The political scientist Lauras Bielinis also agrees that the fighting in Kaunas will be “very fierce”, so, he says, it is too early to talk about coalitions and charges.
“Look, Šimonytė avoids talking about that, because he understands perfectly that everything can be, because he still doesn’t know what coalition will be formed,” he says.
Surprised by the Freedom Party and LSDP
According to the political scientist, the success of the Freedom Party and the extremely modest performance of the Social Democrats were surprising in these elections.
“Although we seem to realize that Social Democrats are professional enough, they can do a lot, but unfortunately they were simply pushed to the margins in the elections, they struggled there,” says Bielinis.
“The main mistake is that they have been very passive for a long time. We simply lost sight of them, they were overshadowed by faster, more aggressive and more communicative people, ”he adds.
Aušrinė Armonaitė
According to R. Urbonaitė, the party should reevaluate its leader: “Apparently, the party will need to reevaluate the leader. Gintautas Paluckas should check the confidence within the party. “
Meanwhile, the success of the Freedom Party, according to L. Bielinis, was determined not only by an active campaign, but also by the correct choice in which electoral districts to nominate candidates.
“It just came to our attention then. They showed energy when other political forces wanted to see them but did nothing. What’s more, others now blame them for informally isolating them. But the Freedom Party was in exactly the same starting position,” says the political scientist.
“They have strategically calculated their opportunities very clearly and have not gone to those regions where they saw that a lot of energy would be consumed and a zero result would be obtained,” explains L. Bielinis.
According to R. Urbonaitė, the fact that Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis in the Pilaitė-Karoliniškė single-member electoral district lagged significantly behind the conservative Radvila Morkūnaitė-Mikulėnienė sends a certain signal to the rulers.
“The leaders who stand for election have a weak point. They cannot be active during the campaign because they must perform other functions. Without serious party support, it is difficult for these leaders to win an election for the first time. But those leaders don’t get off television screens and here’s the question of what works for those single members, “he thinks.
“It means they don’t have loyal voters. If they win, it is because the votes of others who did not go to the second round will pass, which is also a bit of a sign “, says the political scientist on the” Delfi diena “program.
It is strictly prohibited to use the information published by DELFI on other websites, in the media or elsewhere, or to distribute our material in any way without consent, and if consent has been obtained, it is necessary to indicate DELFI as the source.
[ad_2]
