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Spring forecasts have changed several times
Of course, as summer approaches, many are curious to know what the weather will be like and if they will be able to enjoy the sun and heat. Unfortunately, climatologist A. Galvonaitė is in no rush to forecasting and says that even spring forecasts have changed at least several times.
“Nature is nature. As far as I could see it, still. Of course, sometimes I really see that when some predictions are made, intuitively I think they won’t come true. This is usually the case, but sometimes I choose myself. It is very difficult to say anything about the future: even now the forecast for May was presented by the Hydrometeorological Service, the forecast was also provided by the European Center, the American Research Station, and it was announced that May will be close to Lithuania, similar to before, but it turns out that it has not been confirmed and that now the forecast is not so close, the forecast has already changed and in May it is planned to be colder, it is forecast that there will be a negative anomaly, it will be colder than it should be in lithuania.
In the past, it was predicted that there would be a severe shortage of rain, and now in some places we have even dropped the rate for a full month. A Russian scientist has quite rightly said that long-term forecasts are now a utopia, because by the time you move home, everything has already changed, “said the interlocutor.
According to her, even most of June is still attributed to spring.
“Especially now that there is severe climate change, when the processes are already so unbalanced that even the intuition of long-term observations no longer helps, because you see that everything should be the same, but nature behaves differently.” So when it comes to summer, we can’t even predict spring accurately enough, because you don’t think spring will end in May: here is green spring, and then there is ripe, real spring, and it’s already coming to June . I can say that most of June still belongs to spring, it is not the calendar but the climatic months of spring. We like to set the seasons according to the calendar, and it would be nice if everything were so simple and when you flip a calendar sheet, you would see summer begin, ”says A. Galvonaitė.
“Nature not only likes to make fun of her, but also likes to take revenge on us for all the work we have done for her,” added the interlocutor.
What happens in may
According to her, even the ancients knew when frost would come in May. “May is exactly the month of green spring, when there are many changes, atmospheric circulation and the like. The ancients already knew that in May, when ivy and apple trees blossom, when oaks explode, invades the cold climate.
Audronė Galvonaitė
Here, this coincidence is due to the different warming of the surface and the reorganization of atmospheric processes, as the sun rises, the oceans are already cold, the continents are warming and different air masses are colliding. In a word, a long story. “
How to protect gardens?
When the snow fell, many feared that their gardens would suffer, but, according to the interlocutor, the cold is much worse than the snow.
“You know, when the snow falls, it’s not as scary as when the dry cold comes with a high pressure area. The snow that falls on the flowers forms a kind of bed, a little protection. After all, you know that even in autumn, when the snow falls, the ground does not freeze, even if it falls very early, but the snow also has problems. The snow is usually very wet and heavy. At that time, wet snow forms on the trees, cables, poles and that weight that presses on trees that are inflexible, just collapse, breaking the electric poles. A snowstorm can go around a lot. In such cases, when the snow falls, you have to shake off the trees in your garden so that the branches don’t break, “says A. Galvonaitė.
The interlocutor also shared some tips on what to do to protect apples and cherries through frost.
“People create bonfires, so the smoke can protect them from frost. By the way, in terms of frost, they also extract moisture from the plants. It is said that if you get up before dawn and manage to water those plants, then they will not freeze. because they regain moisture and remain viable again. By the way, the soil should never loosen before the frost, it must be flattened, “she replied.
I had to see a whirlwind in Lithuania
When asked what were the most unexpected natural phenomena that he had to see for A. Galvonait aseg, he assured that one of the most impressive and terrible whirlwinds he had ever seen was.
“During my long practice, there were so many natural jokes that it would be very difficult to single one out. First of all, maybe I was very surprised because obviously I saw Širvintos’ whirlwind. I stood in the historic city, I saw that sleeve and I found out what would happen. I stood up and looked, the sun was shining, my hair wasn’t even changing, and tractors, buses, house roofs were flying over Širvintos and so on. And then I reached the epicenter of the whirlwind: it was here during the expedition, when I was in Labanoras and suddenly I woke up in a tent at night from the rumbling silence.
Snow in Vilnius
It is very difficult to feel what silence in the forest means because the blood seems to freeze and it is so scary, a feeling that takes all the air out of you. He was already a little familiar with these phenomena and knew what he was waiting for. Imagine that a jet plane suddenly lands on you: it was a powerful sound and there was an echo in the forest, it was dark, you don’t see anything, and suddenly we heard that a tent was knocked down and cut the high-voltage cables, “said the interlocutor.
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