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Now about the threats, the conflict scenarios are also beginning to be spoken from the official stands. Is it the prevention of possible military catastrophes, or is it already an attempt to say what really awaits us in the future?
Admiral Ph.Davidson said in the United States Senate that “China could invade Taiwan in the next six years.” In addition, China is asserting its rights over almost the entire South China Sea and even an emerging threat to the US-controlled island of Guam.
Needless to say, Beijing reacted quickly, calling the admiral’s comments an artificial blow to China’s power and calling for a battery of an anti-missile defense system to be installed on the island of Guam, a traditional blow over budget.
Of course, such an explanation is possible, but watching China’s growth alongside a growing appetite for the Admiral’s ideas is full of truth. If Dr. Davidson’s words came true, it is not difficult to imagine the scope of a military conflict. There is also talk of the possibility of using a nuclear weapon.
Admiral Ch.A. Richard writes in Proceedings: “It is realistic that a regional crisis with Russia or China will quickly turn into a nuclear conflict if they (Russia or China) decide that it threatens their states or regimes. Therefore, the United States should change the principle of principle “the use of nuclear weapons is impossible” to the provision “the use of nuclear weapons is a very real possibility.”
An important statement from the Admiral, who is also one of the founders of the strategic doctrine, must be heard by both Russia and China, as well as the public.
For more than a decade, the claim that nuclear war is impossible has not been considered because it would be the end of humanity. However, after the annexation of Crimea, the situation began to change.
Initially still philosophizing, for the last three years, drastically. The word war has taken root again. It is true that it is informative, sometimes economic, wavy political, but it is not yet some kind of “sharp discussion”. Military terms such as “information attacks” are also used.
30 years ago, no one even dared to think that in the most rational of all human centuries, the 21st century. The information flows will require the words of an expert satellite in the sea to distinguish the mice from the grains. And I have to admit that these satellites are necessary so as not to drown the sea of information in lies, buoys or lanterns.
Very often honest professionals, scientists who don’t use their knowledge to make money on the propaganda front, become such smart guides.
The eyes of the Polish general W.Skrzypczak in the article “Defense 24” “The Kaliningrad lantern”. The Suwałki corridor is not important for the military operation. “For the Lithuanian reader, the title of the article may seem strange, even provocative, because somewhere already, and in our country, a lot is written” from the right positions “about it. topic.
The general begins the article with a greater focus on information wars. According to him, Russia has achieved a lot here and even surpasses the West. Russia has managed to mobilize a broad propaganda front, attracting communication specialists, upper-class propagandists, diplomats, politicians, businessmen who do not repeat silkscreened phrases about “the rotten West from within” and tailor their arguments to each country individually.
Russian propaganda works precisely to make even a burst bubble look convincing. The general considers the Kaliningrad region (the name he uses) to be a bubble created in part by propaganda. The focus is on the Russian military forces concentrated here.
The Kaliningrad region is very important to the former USSR, but its importance has not diminished even now. For Russia, it is the gateway to the Baltic Sea and through Poland to Europe. At the time, Kaliningrad’s military purpose was to land on the Jutland peninsula. Of course, all kinds of Baltic control.
With the collapse of the Soviet empire, it was also necessary to restructure the forces in Kaliningrad. Russia’s objectives are clear: to gain an advantage in the Baltic Sea, on the ground and in the air during the war. Another objective is to block NATO in the Baltic countries by all means and to support the VI Russian Army, which is even behind Belarus.
Kaliningrad, the Russian 6th Army and inevitably Belarus, the general believes, will be superior to NATO in Eastern Europe. Efforts to achieve at least one balance are difficult and perhaps even futile.
According to the general, Russia would occupy the Baltic states in a few days in any variant, and the Suwalki corridor would be unnecessarily emphasized by NATO experts, as this is only a path of tactical importance. Russian generals will not look at the map, how to move them, it will be the most convenient.
I believe that Mr Skzypczak is in favor of the modernization of American armaments in Poland itself.
However, the Polish general is convinced that the Moscow propaganda artificially exaggerates and supports the military significance of Kaliningrad. Given Russia’s economic woes and huge costs in other regions, Kaliningrad’s optimistic military prospects are questionable.
In the afternoons, they advise facing reality and creating an effective information system for themselves. Maybe he is right.