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“I think many of you are in a situation where you see a road sign with a sign pointing to a place of interest while driving. You’ve been there before, but decide to step back and look again. When you get to the place, you look through the car windows and think about what to do: get out and stay longer, or turn around and drive outside. I would say that this is how we could describe the current COVID-19 situation in Lithuania, ”M. Stankūnas wrote on Facebook.
He recalled that a week ago he shared the forecast of Lithuania’s return to the “black zone”: “And on Saturday morning,” he added, “we found out and we were there for the fifth day.” we rotate. “
“Currently, the main indicator that describes the areas reaches 528.6 new cases. 100,000 inhabitants for 14 d. Considering that we have been here for five days, that number is not high. In general, the most observant note that although we hear about increasing numbers every day, they do so slowly. Much slower than during the “second wave”. Take a look at the attached program. “
M.Stankūnas further explains: “I took the last 32 days (ie March 21, 2021 to April 21, 2021). At the beginning of this period (March 21), the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases was 527.3. I found a similar indicator during the “second wave”. Thus, in 2020, October 26 amounted to 520.3 cases. After the same period (that is, 32 days), it was in the “second wave”, that is, on November 26. grew to 1953.9 cases. After the same period during the “third wave”, that is, it is now 1060.9. That is, almost half as small. What could be the explanations?
After stating the possible reasons for the situation, he also revealed that a comprehensive review of the epidemiological situation of COVID-19 would be prepared next week, adding that the purpose of this message was to show that the situation in Lithuania is not so bad.
“I really want to hope,” he wrote, “that the infection curve will” accelerate “and we will be so shaky that vaccination will” get us “out of that” black zone. “
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