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This choice of the Seimas is interesting in many ways. Political scientists, public relations specialists and the public will discuss your election campaign and its results for a long time. After a persistent fight, as early as morning, it became clear which of the eight Seimas candidates in the eastern single-member constituency of Séla would continue to fight for the mandate in the second round. If the leader – the Social Democratic representative Vidmantas Kanopa – was clear from the first minutes, when immediately after 9 pm. The votes of the small districts began to float, then the winner of the second place was clearly determined by the voters of the large districts of Rokiškis, whose choice became clear only in the morning, around 4 o’clock. Jonas Jarutis, a longtime second-place candidate for the Lithuanian Green and Peasants Union, handed over this position to Raimundas Martinėlis, who elevated himself.
Voting is quiet, no larger queues
Voter turnout in the eastern single-member constituency of Séla traditionally exceeds the national average. However, even in our district it did not exceed 50 percent. ribos. The number of early voters was quite large. According to the Central Electoral Commission, there were 16.33% of those in the eastern single-member constituency. And the final voter turnout, adding together in advance and the number of voters on Election Day, was 47.26 percent. Meanwhile, the national average was 47.16 percent. The most active voters in the eastern Sėla constituency were Konstantinava (58.59%) and Sėlynė, with 55.21% of the vote. The most lazy were Šepeta (Kupiškis district) – 37.11 percent and voters in rural Juodupė – 37.12 percent.
In the main districts of the city, the turnout was about 50 percent. The districts of J. Tumas-Vaižgantas, Mikrorajonas, J. Tūbelis crossed this border. There were no larger queues through the city. As befitting during the covid-19 epidemic, voters wore masks while voting, waited for their turn at the voting booth, kept their distance – often, as recommended, even with their pen. The novelty of this election was that the flow of voters was distributed: those who went to the polls were admitted through the main entrances of the constituencies, and those who had fulfilled a civic duty were invited to pass through the posters until the next exit.
Many invalid ballots
Already during the election campaign, several Rokiškės felt reassured that it was difficult for them to decide which of the eight candidates to vote in a single-member constituency. Some even admitted voting annually or casting ballots that did not include any candidate’s name during early voting. Did they just want to show off? It seems not. There were many protesters or non-voters: in the eastern Sėla constituency, more ballots than ever were found at the polls: 662 (4.4%) of them were invalid in multi-member constituencies. Interestingly, there were invalid ballot papers in all 50 constituencies, most of them, up to 72, in the J. Tūbel constituency.
The number of ballot papers in the single-member constituency deteriorated further, to 864, or 5.74 percent. (This is more than the national average of 5.27 percent). The largest number of undecided people was in the J. Tūbelis area: 105 ballots were not valid here, or even 8.51 percent. In percentage terms, most of the damaged bulletins were in the Šimoniai area (Kupiškis district), down 13.74%.
The fight between J. Jarutis and R. Martinėlis
The Central Electoral Commission predicted that this time the counting of votes will take longer than usual. That is what happened. The first voter turnout data for small districts came in around 9 pm The first to count the votes was the Pakriauniai District Election Commission. The trends were obvious: Vidmantas Kanopa, representative of the Social Democrats, was the leader from the first data. It certainly widened the gap. And the intrigue of the candidate getting second place and the chance to compete with V. Kanopa in the second round of the elections in two weeks remained until the votes of the main districts of Rokiškis were counted. Results from these constituencies are expected to be the longest in each election, but carry the most weight. In comparison, if in the smallest district of the district, Konstantinava, there are only 129 voters, then in the largest district of Rokiškis, the Republic, there are 2444 voters.
As the eastern constituency of Sėla consists of three districts: Rokiškis, part Kupiškis, and part Zarasai, it is not surprising that certain geographical features were felt. The people of the Kupiškis district supported J. Jarutis much more than the people of Rokiškis. However, already after the data for the largest districts in our district started to float, J. Jartutis was kicked out of second place by R. Martinėlis. The intrigue continued until the wee hours of the morning, when the votes of J. Tumas-Vaižgantas, the Republic and the Juodupė district were finished counting. It was then clear that V. Kanopa and R. Martinėlis would compete in the second round.
J. Jarutis is already about to enter the Seimas: the Union of Greens and Peasants of Lithuania has won 16 seats. However, J. Jarutis was “ranked” from 10th place on the list to 17th, so he must wait for the second round and wait for one of the aforementioned match mates to win the second round in the single-name.
A big jump on this list belongs to Lina Meilute-Datkūnienė. She climbed from 100th place on the list to 58 even.
The Social Democratic Party won 9 seats in a multi-member constituency. However, in case of failure in the second round of the elections, V. Kanopa would not enter the Seimas, although he went from position 70 on the list to position 58 after ranking. He is in line with Dainora Mineikienė, who ranked 57th and dropped out of 31st. Antanas Taparauskas ranked 75th at the will of the voters, going from 139th. Vytautas Saulis rose to 81st from 128th. However, it is Obviously they no longer have the opportunity to enter the Seimas.
Furthermore, in case of failure in the second round of the elections, R. Martinėlis, who has risen, will not have the opportunity to enter the Seimas. Although R. Martinėlis was supported by the Conservatives, who won up to 23 seats in the multi-member constituency, this politician was not included on their electoral list.
Debate doesn’t determine everything
Politicians, political scientists and public relations specialists will analyze the results of these elections for a long time. However, several of its peculiarities are already clear. The first is a very late and very slow electoral campaign.
Eight candidates from the East S paidla Unified Constituency paid more attention to visual advertising (although its volume in mailboxes is significantly lower compared to previous Seimas elections and City Council elections). My favorite was the least informative type of political advertising: large posters.
And here politicians were reluctant to go into discussions, especially since even the talent of a speaker can only show off. Seven of the eight candidates wanted to participate in the first political debate filmed by Rokiškis Sirena, and only three of the eight candidates were held in Independence Square a couple of weeks later, and only three of the eight candidates in the Center of Youth Culture.
Interestingly, the leader in them was not an experienced district politician, but Julius Panka, who taught his position with courage and consistency. However, it is not enough to speak beautifully and persuasively: Mr. Panka was the last of the eight candidates to receive one hundred and fifty votes. In some neighborhoods, he didn’t get a single vote.
Neither in the district nor in the country did the newcomers to the National Association politics. His representative Dalia Janulienė was interested in the personal qualities of the voters, not as a representative of the movement: this is shown by the figures: Mr. Janulienė collected 6.18 percent in the single-member electoral district of Sėla. voters and the National Union, only 1.96 percent.
The situation is similar with the Liberal Movement of the Republic of Lithuania: it received 5.92 percent in the constituency. votes, and his representative Irmantas Tarvydis – more than double the votes, 13.08 percent.
Interestingly, voters in the eastern constituency of Séla also voted for those lists for which there were no candidates among the single-member contenders. Although all multi-member lists received several votes each: the Lithuanian People’s Party received at least 51 votes.
It’s too early to think of coalitions:
everything will be decided in the second round
On October 11, 70 Seimas members were elected from a multi-member constituency. And in three of the 71 uninominals. Conservatives Ingrida Šimonytė and Beata Petkevič and Česlav Olševski, representatives of Lithuania’s Polish electoral campaign, the Union of Christian Families, won seats in the Seimas.
So far, it is clear that no political force has gained much advantage. The second round included 56 conservative-backed politicians, 32 representatives from the Lithuanian Peasants and Greens Union, 12 representatives from the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party, 10 from the Liberal Movement of the Republic of Lithuania, 12 Freedom Parties, 4 Parties Labor Social Democrats of Lithuania, 4 Polish electoral campaigns of Lithuania – Christian Union, 6 2 representatives of the Labor Party, one of the Freedom and Justice Party, the Lithuanian Green Party and the Center Nationalist Party.
So it is clear that both the conservatives who won the elections and the current Union of Peasants and Greens in power have a good chance of forming coalitions.
The second round of the parliamentary elections will take place in two weeks.
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