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Let’s start with the arrest of 33 privately owned Russian citizens Wagner military company. They were detained by the Belarusian KGB and the Minsk official reported that the Russians had arrived to destabilize the situation in the country and that this was the first group of a projected contingent of 180-200 people. The Ukrainians immediately identified the detainees according to the list of names (as repeatedly announced by InformNapalm) who had participated in the war operations in Ukraine, Syria and Libya as “vagnerovcus”, and named it as a company with snipers and military units. assigned intelligence.
photo from informnapalm.org / The leader of the sniper group Andrejus Bakunovičius
Belarus immediately sent troops to the Russian border, although very few, but for all to see. If Lukashenko firmly believed that Russia was preparing to use military force, then the entire army would be raised and launched to cover the main directions. Such action would be an open challenge for Russia, but it would be fully understood. So far, the border is more reliably protected by truck queues there, which is why Russia and Belarus are holding each other accountable.
President.gov.by photo / Belarusian President A. Lukashenko heard a report from Valery Vakulchik, President of the KGB, and Ivan Noskevičius, Chairman of the Commission of Inquiry, on the situation with previously detained mercenaries from the private military company Vagner
However, it seems that Lukashenko does not expect energy solutions from Russia; well, he hardly expects them, because Russia can always do it. This is demonstrated by their gentle rhetoric that “they do not need to be treated” harshly “(” жестко “), they are only soldiers who have obeyed the order in good faith” and the equally gentle and lazy Russian rhetoric – they usually defend themselves fiercely. . Furthermore, the reaction of western countries is almost nil. The latter criticizes Lukashenko for eliminating opponents who are dangerous.
Scanpix / AP photo / Moscow candidate Valerijus Cepkalas with his wife Veronika
However, even after eliminating them, Lukashenko cannot be calm: the president’s chair squeaks loudly and, in theory, surprises are possible. Your constant speeches about foreign interference, we understand, from Russia, leave you the opportunity to legalize at least some possible police measures before the elections, postpone the elections or even use force after the elections, if you are not satisfied with the results. , simply “declare” foreign hands. invalid or similar.
Photo by BelaPAN / Protests in Belarus
However, the results of the Russian elections may not be satisfactory either: is it possible that the candidate S.Thananovskaya is really a Russian builder? Perhaps not direct: her statement that she was elected after 6 months. It will hold new elections, in which all the candidates (and after all, the new ones, who have not yet been heard) can participate, it is in itself interesting and with variations. If so, a “reverse” Maidan is possible, not against Russian influence, but for Russia. After all, for the Kremlin, Belarus is today a state that in no way can be freed from its sphere of influence. And Lukashenko has long had a letter to the Kremlin, which is not sent only because of the reaction of western states and part of Belarusian society. The rest of the Belarusians see the NATO exercise and see it as a preparation to occupy Belarus.
AFP / Photo by Scanpix / Veronika Cepkalo, candidate Svetlana Tichanovskaja and Marija Kolesnikova, campaign director of V. Babaryka
Mr. Lukashenko is ready for anything and says that “Belarus has exhausted the limit of its revolutions in the last century” and that it will not allow the redistribution of property. So you can’t lose. And what is Russia ready for? For anyone. It will involve and support the most deserving, depending on the outcome of the election or possibly the cancellation of the election. And that something may be Lukashenko, but not necessarily.
Waiting for an interesting day before the elections. After them, even more interesting events are possible. A question to which no one has an answer: how loyal to Lukashenko is the army and the KGB?
read more – https://informnapalm.org/lt/.
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