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According to data scientist Vaidotas Zemlis-Balevičius, with the number of infected people growing so fast, the scenario of the latest wave of COVID-19 will soon repeat itself again.
“With an infection growth rate as high as we see now, we will walk up to four thousand infected people per day in eight weeks. Appropriate measures must be taken to stop the growth of the infected, otherwise the situation will be the same as last year. Here, I would say, we have such a pandemic carriage that some pull forward and some roll back, ”says V. Zemlys-Balevičius.
Although it is often possible to hear suggestions in society to develop immunity not with the help of vaccines, but after a natural outbreak of the virus, Aurelija Žvirblienė, a professor at the Vilnius University Life Sciences Center, says that this method it’s too risky.
“It just came to our attention then. We can see an example of how to allow the public to get sick in some countries and yet it is obviously costing many lives. Of course, disease is an effective protection, but the problem is that it The disease carries several risks, such as death. Sometimes young people say that the risk of death in their age group is much lower, but it is important to realize that there is another side: various post-survival phenomena, neurological disorders that are little information is available. Vaccination is a much less risky way to gain immunity, and I think that if a person really wants to get sick, they can do it after the vaccine, “the professor shares.
However, according to her, the immunity acquired after a coronavirus is a more effective means of protection than a vaccine.
“There are already studies in Israel comparing relatively large groups of people who have been sick and vaccinated, and this study shows that the immunity of a sick person is longer lasting. Not surprisingly, because the immune system is stimulated in every way, but a vaccine is a much safer way that requires fewer deaths ”, says A. Žvirblienė.
Although the majority of the Lithuanian population has been vaccinated with at least one dose of the vaccine, there are still those who do not plan to get vaccinated because they fear the side effects. There is also a part of the public that would only agree to be vaccinated after receiving compensation from the state. According to V. Zemlio-Balevičius, such an approach is arrogant.
“We live in a state with medical care and that prohibits us. If you get sick, the state will treat you and allow you to rehabilitate. If you have a job and pay taxes, Sodra will pay you a salary. Again, there are not many post-vaccination events that require rehabilitation, such as COVID-19. As I mentioned, the insurance already exists, but for some reason many people think that here, I got vaccinated, give me 1000 euros for non-pecuniary damage. He’s quite arrogant. Bear in mind that we live in a state that already protects us and perhaps that protection is not real, but you are not going to improve ”, the expert shares the opinion.
According to A. Žvirblienė, although mass vaccination began a year ago, so far no common side effects have been reported.
“The vaccination lasts for a year, but common, unwanted and threatening side effects have not been reported. Of course, those side effects are recorded, but I can say that people often like to invent and demonize vaccines,” says A. Žvirblienė.
According to the professor, we will live with the virus for a long time, but the pandemic, like everything that has happened so far, will end sooner or later.
“I think this pandemic will end as all previous pandemics ended. In the past, all kinds of viruses and their strains appeared, but when the majority of the population gained immunity, those waves were naturally suppressed, that’s the way of pandemics. The point is that the virus will continue to circulate in the future, but it will not be dangerous for us. However, now we have vaccines that make it much easier for us to survive this pandemic, so now the question is one: will we survive with the big boys? sacrifices that we had 100 years ago or even before, or will we continue to avoid these victims because we have a way to protect ourselves, not to get seriously ill or, in the end, not to die ”, says a professor at the University’s Center for Life Sciences from Vilnius.
According to the data scientist, this year is the last year of the pandemic.
“In terms of the number of people vaccinated and relapsed, I think this could be the last winter of a pandemic and I think the virus will naturally regress in the summer. Of course, there is always a possible apocalyptic variant of the virus mutating, but I hope it does not happen and we can speak more calmly next fall ”, shares V. Zemlys-Balevičius.
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