Alexander Lukashenko flew to Russia to talk with Vladimir Putin: what to expect?



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“The president has already participated in the negotiations,” a source close to Lukashenko’s press service told the Pul pervogo channel of the Telegram platform.

Lukashenko and Putin will meet in the town of Sochi, on the Black Sea. No documents will be signed or a joint press conference is scheduled, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said previously.

According to the press service of the President of Russia, the Sochi summit “is scheduled to discuss the most important issues of a greater strategic partnership between Russia and Belarus and the development of the alliance.” The messages from both sides are very elegant.

But as Russian political scientist Gleb Pavlovsky said before the meeting between Lukashenko and Putin, the prelude to the suspension was the arrests in Minsk on Sunday: more than 400 people were arrested.

“Scanpix” nuotr./Herojų maršas Minske

“On Sunday he had to show who Lukashenko would come to Putin with. It is very important for him to show how strong he is, so Lukashenko has basically decided to make a short film for Putin in Minsk.

But it failed because more than 15,000 people gathered to protest. people, ”thinks G. Pavlovskis.

Photo by Scanpix / Gleb Pavlovskis

Photo by Scanpix / Gleb Pavlovskis

According to the analyst, Lukashenko is very afraid of Putin’s plans and does not want to crawl up to him with four and ask him for help, that the Russian president can do whatever he wants with the Belarusian autocrat.

“He doesn’t want such a situation, which means he’s trying to show that he controls Belarus.” But he is no longer in control, he controls the power structures, the people in uniform. That is not enough, Putin is not enough.

Putin, on the other hand, decides: does this man still have a chance, at least a chance in a hundred, to regain legitimacy? Maybe people will calm down and break up next week? The security forces’ tactic of dividing the column and giving the impression that there is no common mass has not worked.

AFP /

AFP / “Scanpix” nuotr./Protestuotojai Minske

Then Lukashenko has just shown that he does not rule the country. Even if he tries to sell the impression that everything is under control to Putin, the latter will not trust him. Therefore, I do not expect big surprises. “I don’t think Putin will offer military aid to Lukashenko unless he is crazy,” Pavlovsky said.

According to the Kremlin, special attention should be paid to “the implementation of large joint projects in the fields of trade and economy, energy, culture and humanitarian affairs, as well as the prospects for the implementation of integration processes within the framework of the trade union state.”

Lukashenko said last week that he planned to “put all the points on the” most sensitive and sensitive issues for both countries “in talks with Putin.

Lukashenko also said he hoped to help put a “big point” on the meeting with Putin on the implementation of the prime minister’s agreements of the two countries so that they could “move forward.”

This will be Lukashenko’s first visit to Russia since a wave of protests in Belarus over his disputed re-election to a sixth term. The opposition and western countries consider that these elections are rigged.

Lukashenko’s relations with Russia have been quite volatile so far, and he has repeatedly tried to overthrow Moscow with the European Union when it has been in his favor. However, after mass protests began in the country after the August 9 elections, he turned to Putin for advice and help, with whom he reportedly speaks regularly on the phone.



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