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According to a survey carried out by the market research and public opinion company Baltijos tyrimai from June 15 to 25, commissioned by the ELTA news agency, G. Landsbergis has a positive assessment of 26% and 64% unfavorably. Only Naglis Puteikis and Valdemaras Tomaševskis are rated worse than him.
Since February, when the last Baltic Studies poll was conducted, Ingrida Šimonytė’s ranking, the leader of the TS-LKD list for elections, has decreased, and the number of supporters has decreased by 10 percentage points (42% in favor and 46% against).
You can see the latest rating changes here.
The ratings themselves were reluctant to be evaluated
G. Landsbergis, who participated in the TS-LKD National Survey presentation event at Hall Hall in Vilnius on Thursday, declined to assess these ratings.
“I think the ratings should be judged first by the political scientists,” he said. Delphi Landsberg said.
Speaking about the upcoming Seimas elections, the TS-LKD leader stated that many of the things being emphasized now are related to what was already heard during the campaign of I. Šimonytė (presidential).
© V. Balčytis
“It’s more of a consensus, a search for consensus,” Landsberg said.
He himself suggests that he will not remain on the sidelines of the process, but did not specifically define his local electoral campaign.
“I’m here. I’ll be wherever I am,” said the conservative leader.
He asks for awareness of his unpopularity.
Virgis Valentinavičius, associate professor and political scientist at Mykolas Romeris University (MRU), congratulates G. Landsbergis on his actual assessment of the situation. Political scientist talking to Delphi He stressed that the conservative leader’s low rating is not news.
“I don’t think the rating gets too low, traditionally it’s low. I don’t think post-quarantine ‘Baltic Research’ polls show dramatic declines, they just indicate the usual: G. Landsbergis is not a popular politician. And the impact of That at the party will depend on how much this fact is recognized. And what is the party doing on that topic, “said V. Valentinavičius.
The MRU political scientist thanked TS-LKD for its position in recent months to give I. Šimonyte a first plan.
“I would say that the steps of the past few months have taken I. Šimonytė to another place, G. Landsbergis, to go more in the shadows, to commit to a more technical leadership of the party and to transfer all ideological leadership to I. Šimonyte, I think there is a sufficiently adequate response to this fact. ” And if such a strategy is developed more consistently, then the problem will be solved, “predicted the political expert.
V. Valentinavičius stated that the current actions of the party’s top representatives should not allow the unpopularity of G. Landsbergis to be passed on to I. Šimonyte.
“It just came to our attention then. But I think it’s being done. I. Šimonytė is popular, it can appeal not only to National Union voters, but also to a wider circle of voters. To put it first, to trying to make it as public as possible, it would be wise to do so. It seems like the National Union has been doing this lately, “he said.
The interviewer V. Valentinavičius stated that the ratings will be recovered only after evaluating the actual situation.
“I think it is the perception of one’s unpopularity and taking the appropriate steps, not trying to go first, making them more popular, which would attest to G. Landsbergis’ proper behavior. And that is the path to a recovery in the ratings. We need to act in recognition of reality. And if this is done, sooner or later the situation will improve. ” Delphi said a MRU political scientist.
It is necessary to reconcile and draw conclusions: V. Valentinavičius gave such advice to the TS-LKD leader.
“The party needs to gain maximum popularity from I. Šimonytė and lose minimally due to G. Landsbergis’ unpopularity. And if he acknowledges it and takes appropriate action, that is the way to go, too,” he said.
‘ME. Šimonytė is involved in party affairs. And that would mean that she is not just the outer jewel of the party. ”
V. Valentinavičius also positively evaluated the fact that I. Šimonytė showed by his actions that it is not just a decoration for the list: the party takes into account his opinion, it is trustworthy.
“My head is good enough for me. Šimonyte so far. I think it is encouraging that I am taking a more active role, not only as a party flag abroad, but also within the party, if we are talking about the last council of the party She feels that she is involved in the deliberations of the party lists, she sees that her word is valued and important.
This is a sign that I. Šimonytė is involved in party affairs. And that would mean that it is not just about the exterior decoration of the party. ” Delphi said political scientist V. Valentinavičius.
The party’s “steam locomotive” also slides
Lauras Bielinis, a professor and political scientist at Vytautas Magnus University (Vytautas Magnus University), stated that the assessment of list leader I. Šimonytė is much more important now.
“Landsberg’s rating is unlikely to affect the attitude of the party. Because we also saw in previous elections that his rating was low, but the party achieved a good enough result. And I. Šimonytė’s rating is very relevant, because it is as a symbolic statement that the steam engine is taking the party ranking to the top, “said the political scientist visually the role of a politician.
According to L. Bielinis, TS-LKD should start operating, to avoid dropping the rating of I. Šimonytė.
© V. Balčytis
“It was and is expected that its image and alterity will allow the party to attract more voters. Now its downgraded image can have a negative impact on the party during the elections. Yes, there is a problem here that must be solved as soon as possible,” he said. L. Bielinis.
According to the political scientist, the decline in popularity of I. Šimonytė in the latest public opinion polls is not necessarily due to the fact that it was difficult for the entire opposition to find air during the quarantine.
“But most likely, in what he says, society does not find ideas that meet expectations. Perhaps the public does not find certainty in their arguments, perhaps it is believed that it will not lead where expected. Here we have to rethinking the whole concept of our arguments, ideological positions, this must be done very seriously and as soon as possible. ” Delphi The evaluation of the situation was presented by the political scientist L. Bielinis.
Mathematics, said the interlocutor, is a very simple popular leader who is always more favorable to the party: the Union of Peasants and Greens of Lithuania (LVŽS) follows the same logic. Politicians are best placed at the top of the list.
“It just caught our eye then. In this way, the party feels good behind it, the public sees that there is a guide you can trust to vote. So the qualification of a top leader is very important, especially during the elections, “said the political scientist.
“Naturally, a leader who associates them with conservatism is like a red rag to them.”
According to the political scientist, it is not necessary to look for the reasons for G. Landsberg’s low rating for a long time.
“It just caught our eye then. Let’s understand that conservatives have a very clear but limited number of voters. Their voter sees G. Landsbergis positive enough. Perhaps not as high as the others, but not at the bottom. While the rest of society looks at conservatives with suspicion, there are often those who fear their coming to power.
It is natural for a leader associated with conservatism to be like a red cloth for them ”, L. Bielinis spoke about the conservative leader’s position on the list of politicians.
Internal tensions will also need to be resolved
The political scientist predicted that the now well-functioning tandem of I. Šimonytė and G. Landsbergis should be changed slightly.
“If the elections were to take place in the next few days, the tandem of I. Šimonytė and G. Landsbergis would give voters more inertia. But if that trend continues, we will see a drop in Conservative Party ratings in the fall. You can see that there is also a tension of ideas within the party.In the internal ranking, we see that the cricket wing of the party is high.
© V. Balčytis
And the supporters of G. Landsbergis are relegated to the background. Apparently, not everything is completely clarified and organized there either, ”said L. Bielinis, speaking about the internal classification of the party list, when the representatives of Christian Democrats – Laurynas Kasčiūnas, Paulius Saudargas – were elevated to the top positions.
“It will be difficult for everyone in the next three months, but it will also be very difficult for conservatives to solve this problem,” said political scientist L. Bielinis.
Delphi remember that the Seimas elections will be held on October 11.
You can see the full list of the National Union for elections here.
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