After the jump in LSDP ratings, there is little good news to be seen: everything is in the hands of Blinkevičiūtė so far, but some statements are completely empty.

LSDP takes root first

Delphi He already announced on Saturday that according to the Vilmorus poll, the most popular party in September is still the LSDP, supported by 17.7 percent. survey participants, they were 15.9 percent a month ago.

The ruling Lithuanian Christian Democrats-Union of the Fatherland (TS-LKD) rose to second place, although their ranking remained largely unchanged. 12.9 percent expressed their support. of those surveyed, in August it was 13.1 percent.

LVŽS dropped to third position in the leaderboard. 10.4 percent would now vote in favor. voters, up from 15.6 percent in August.

In fourth place at the party table is the Liberal Movement with 6 percent. Voter support (5.5 percent in August), in the fifth – the Labor Party with 5.6 percent. rating (5.9% in August).

1.8 percent would vote for the Freedom Party, which currently belongs to the ruling coalition. voters. A month ago, his rating was 3 percent.

Blinkevičiūtė’s magical powers?

Professor at Vytautas Magnus University (VMU), political scientist Lauras Bielinis Delphi He said he couldn’t call the LSDP rating a breakthrough.

“In my head, the victory of the Social Democrats was not determined so much by their activity and innovation. But without interfering in all the fragments of the party that are happening now between peasants and conservatives, or within the conservatives. This is how being on the side makes them warmer than others, ”L. Bielinis shared his thoughts.

He also said that the representatives of this party should make proposals, not just criticize.

“And secondly, the role of V. Blinkevičiūtė, he is able to maneuver between different currents. And so he demonstrates a modicum of aggression, which probably also pleases the voter. These are the two factors that make them stand out. It is a means to an adequate presence, but if you want to be true political leaders, you have to offer and act constructively. Don’t just criticize, “said a professor at VMU.

When asked if the political scientist of the Mykolas Romeris University (MRU), Vytautas Dumbliauskas, asked if those LSDP rates had already reached the ceiling, he said that everything depends on “the limits of the miraculous powers of V. Blinkevičiūtė”.

And how else to explain? When Vilmorus ‘incumbent, sociologist Vladas Gaidys, said last month that the Social Democrats’ rating was empty. It is very well said here. (…) It means that there is nothing you can get up to. Then there is only one explanation: the magical power of V. Blinkevičiūtė “, assured V. Dumbliauskas.

The political scientist said that the LSDP was currently “dirty.”

“They stand aside, criticizing politely and correctly. (…) They are not the Union of the Fatherland or the peasants. And that also gives them a bonus,” said the MRU political scientist.

V. Dumbliauskas reminded LSDP representatives that fast-growing ratings are falling rapidly. And the current popularity must be filled with content: concrete offers.

The MRU professor, political scientist Rima Urbonaitė, speaking about the LSDP result, first pointed a finger at a large number of undecided voters.

“You have to think how many of those indecisive people can be expected to still drift towards LSDP. There are 23 percent ignorant, which is quite a bit. You would think that LSDP can still stand on its own. Because what is very convenient for the LSDP is that the peasants no longer attract it, ”said the political scientist.

MRU professor R. Urbonaitė said she would have been surprised if LSDP had risen to the top.

“I doubt we can see 20 percent here. But I say, there is still a reserve,” said the MRU political scientist.

She said the LSDP must now think about how to attract undecided voters to itself.

“It just came to our knowledge then. Because it is possible that among the ignorant are those who voted for TS-LKD in the last election. And who could easily switch to LSDP,” he explained.

Political scientist R. Urbonaitė agreed that the LSDP’s statements were often empty: many criticisms, but few suggestions.

Taking into account that perhaps the LVŽS has calculated

LVŽS’s rating does not fluctuate: the third position in the rating table and the rating of this part has dropped significantly. V. Gaidys, the head of Vilmorus, relates this rating change to the politicians who left the peasant faction, along with former Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis.

Political scientist R. Urbonaitė said that we cannot rule out the change in the LVŽS rating as insignificant. Delphi The interlocutor pointed out that LVŽS’s ratings have remained stable in recent months, as if they were frozen, despite very harsh criticism from the government, which is currently facing 2 major crises.

“It just came to our knowledge then. What V. Blinkevičiūtė herself does. She also criticizes the Government, not necessarily offering something herself. It seems to me that the peasants have done a little bit here. And Ramūnas Karbauskis calculated with great force. Why not it is possible to play double games with the voters, which was done, ”said the political scientist.

He recalled that the head of LVŽS R. Karbauskis had left the Seimas and had left it less than a month later. Political scientist R. Urbonaitė stated that voters find it difficult to understand the party’s position on coronavirus vaccination. And in the ranks of his fierce opponents LVŽS.

“It is not clear to the voter what is happening here. People have the green light against vaccines, they defend themselves, but Tom Tomilin has to leave the party with a different opinion? The voter is confused. I do not have the data to operate. now, but my hypothesis is that the peasants have moved away, even focusing more on the Labor Party voter. It seems to me that they have reduced their circle of voters, they have started to focus only on a part of them. And that made the voter get lost, ”shared political scientist R. Urbonaitė.

L. Bielinis, a political scientist at Vytautas Magnus University, said that the resignation of S. Skvernelis is painful, but that LVŽS does not need to be buried yet.

“But I would not really bury LVS. And I would not say that the story will continue in this direction,” said L. Bielinis.

The political scientist said that he had recently seen “excessive aggression” by the LVŽS towards all political parties.

MRU political scientist V. Dumbliauskas predicted LVŽS’s rating would continue to fall.

“In 2016, their ranking was fueled by the hopes they provided. S. Skvernelis also added, those hopes were dashed, there was no white horse left on which the peasants had come. That horse no longer exists, I think they will continue to fall, “said MRU political scientist V. Dumbliauskas.

The government’s assessment should no longer fall

According to Vilmorus, the ruling TS-LKD party ranks second. According to V. Gaidis, the Cabinet of Ministers’ assessments of this ruling majority are stabilizing, as are those of Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė.

R. Urbonaitė, a political scientist at the MRU, stated that the rulers’ qualifications should not change in any direction in the near future.

“It’s just a Molotov cocktail. Because the situation in March is not resolved, those prices are yet to come. Despite the fact that, as I. Šimonytė herself says, prices go back to a certain previous level and during that time wages have risen. But it is still not good news. And at this point, it is natural that it is difficult to expect something very positive. But if the situation with the coronavirus unravels a little, and without great hope, the moods of people are not going to change either, they are already quite pessimistic.

And another education: the roller coasters there. There are many of that stud, of course. So I don’t expect a sudden resurrection in terms of ratings. But I also don’t see many preconditions for driving too little. Ratings may still be at this level.

But then, if it is possible to get out of it, if there are no more dramas, we will have to try to recover a little in terms of ratings. Because even lower down, it’s hard to imagine. After all, everyone has really gotten used to this bad situation, ”said R. Urbonaitė, a political scientist at MRU.

Vytautas University political scientist Magnus L. Bielinis said people are used to attributing all problems to power.

“All those rating fluctuations relative to rulers are related to specifics in life. Today, our lives are governed by a pandemic, the limitations associated with it. It is quite painful, psychologically very sensitive. And society attributes all these problems to those in power. So I think the downgrade is kind of a reaction to the pandemic, “L. Bielinis said.

And MRU representative V. Dumbliauskas explains the stability of government qualifications as an effective government job.

“The crisis is not over, but we still see that the government is in order. That wave of migrants seemed to be under control, as there was clear confusion in August. (…) It seems to me that trust also came to power. (…) The government somehow remained calm. I believe that the National Union will not surrender, it will not forgive the ministers. Maybe people saw that the government was working, so the drop in ratings stopped, ”he said. Delphi given by the political scientist V. Dumbliauskas.