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“If this trend continues for a week, this week can be considered to be the start of 4 waves. It is good that hospitals are empty now, so doctors can still rest,” the researcher wrote on social media on Saturday .
V. Zemlys-Balevičius writes that it is good that the hospitals are currently empty; doctors can still rest.
“The crucial question is whether this time the increase in new cases will be followed by the same increase in the number of hospitalizations. The UK has decided not to take further action. Since the percentage of people vaccinated with them is significantly higher, especially among risk groups, it is possible to understand them, ”writes V. Zemlys-Balevičius.
According to the scientist, it is not possible to take such risks in Lithuania.
“For the moment, those who have been vaccinated can live in peace. The vaccine protects not only against COVID-19, but also from the need to keep up with the news about COVID-19. And in a year and a half, they had to get bored. So you want to live in peace, get vaccinated ”, says the scientist.
We can probably see the spread of the Delta variety
According to Dr. Mantas Puida, Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics at Vilnius University, there are no longer doubts about the turnaround of the COVID-19 situation.
“The number of new cases skyrocketed so high that the effective R (how much one patient infects others) can be estimated at between 1.4 and 2.2. We have not seen such numbers since the NVSC collected data very reliably. (It is true that yesterday’s incident with a data supply interruption may affect the figures being analyzed now, so the analysis should be treated with caution.) However, if we assume that the numbers are more or less correct and that R is approximately 2.2, after 30 days we will already have 1500 cases per day. It is interesting that the scientists estimate that the R0 of the Delta strains is approximately 5.0, then multiplying by 50% of the immunized population we would have R = 2.5 ”, writes M. Puida on his Facebook account.
These numbers are close to what we see now, so it cannot be ruled out that the spread of the Delta variety is currently visible.
“It is an interesting fact that Klaipeda invaded the second place in terms of absolute number of cases after Vilnius, but knowing that the vaccination rate in Klaipeda barely reaches 37%, it is not very surprising. There is a greater probability of a positive test in groups 20-29, 30-39 and 80+. So, if the number of cases is neglected now, it will be possible to have more than 80 patients in a month ”, writes M. Puida.
There are 74 new cases in Lithuania
According to Statistics Lithuania, 74 new cases of COVID-19 were detected in Lithuania on Saturday. One person died of a coronavirus illness on the last day.
Last day, 5,157 people received the first dose of the coronavirus vaccine and 8,807 people received the second, the Department of Statistics said on Saturday.
In the country, COVID-19 has been vaccinated with at least one dose of 1 million vaccines. 275,230 people, both – 1 million. 72 thousand. 73.
At least one dose of the vaccine was 54.5%. more than 80, 69 percent. – population between 75 and 79 years old, 71.4%. – 70-74 years and 70% – population 65 to 69 years.
In the 55-64 age group, 58.7% are vaccinated, in the 45-54 age group – 52.4%, in the 35-44 age group – 50.7%, in the 25 age group at 34 years – 43.8 percent, 16 – in the group of 24 years – 42 percent. population. 9.6 percent of children ages 12 to 15 were vaccinated.
These values increased between 0.1 and 0.3 percentage points per day.
In Lithuania, 45.6% have received at least one coronavirus vaccine. people: 0.2 percentage points more than a day before.
In total, Lithuania has received 3 million. 66,955 doses of vaccine, of which 2 million were used. 347,303 doses of vaccine.
Almost 729 thousand are currently unused. vaccine dose
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