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Professor of the Lithuanian Military Academy Giedrius Česnakas in the program Delphi Day appreciated Belarus’ efforts to present a version of its events as soon as possible.
“I would explain that it is important for Belarus to show how everything went to its domestic consumers, to its citizens, to show and substantiate those arguments, but this possibility of distortion of information and facts cannot be ruled out. Investigations are generally not carried out as quickly and we have to wait for our European colleagues to submit formal investigations and then see us. Of course, Belarus is trying to deny or force the lifting of these sanctions, to question their need precisely by disseminating this information, ”says the interlocutor.
According to him, at the moment the Russian and Belarusian versions are getting too much attention, which is not good in terms of information.
“Obviously, the information spread or the justification for why the plane landed sometimes balances it on the edge of absurdity. If the West gets involved in this debate, counting down to the second, it will already be a defeat, because it is important for the regime to spread essential messages, and if the West gets on the defensive, trying to deny everything, it is already a defeat. in the information space, from Belarus and Russia, it receives much more attention than it should, ”says G. Garlic.
Plane over Belarus
Laurynas Jonavičius, a political scientist at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science at Vilnius University, says it is normal for Belarus and Russia to try to present the facts in a way that is beneficial to them.
“It is normal because Belarus is engaged in propaganda and wants to turn the investigation into a useful direction, so it discards the facts that are useful to them. Obviously, it is difficult to collect objective information, verify it, because there are many countries, actors involved, it is They need a lot of surveys, so I would say that it is good that there is not so much information from us, because it means that the facts are verified several times, and what comes from Belarus and Russia are not facts, it is an attempt to form an opinion and present research in a beneficial direction ”, says L. Jonavičius.
According to him, it will be a long time before we get the results of the investigation and the actual facts.
“We really know next to nothing while sitting here, except what someone wrote somewhere. And the details, taken out of context, generally do not provide correct information, but only distort the picture, so I would suggest waiting for the investigation to take place. Yes, it will take time, although I imagine how the media wants to know everything as soon as possible, but here you need patience, “he added.
When asked what role R. Pratasevičius plays in this situation, the interlocutor assured that several daykas are important.
“It just came to our knowledge then. First of all, it is clear that people need to be careful, assess the risks they take, that’s important. Second, Pratasevičius had asked to live in Lithuania, half of the asylum, at that time I was traveling all over Europe, I’m not sure, here it should already be explained with the security structures how much they have a duty to guarantee, to provide some protection for these people. Here are such specific questions that professionals in this field must answer “, he says. L. Jonavičius.
Asked about what to expect from the investigation, G. Garlic assures that, in the first place, an attempt will be made to find out the chronology of the events.
“I think there will be an attempt to trace the entire evolution of the chronology, how what happened happened, an attempt to find out the identities of the people who traveled, their connection. It could equate to when independent investigators tried to trace the entire process of a Malaysian plane crashed in Ukraine, and that process allowed those responsible to be brought to justice, to initiate legal proceedings against them. “
On the second day of the meeting, Putin and Lukashenko set sail
“Ideally, all parties should work together to provide information to investigate, I think it all depends on what is on the plane, what flight data, logs, everything else, pilot surveys – everything is important and takes time. Many countries are interested in this process ”, added the interlocutor.
According to L. Jonavičius, it is still very important for Lukashenko to stay in power.
“Lukashenko, in my opinion, has reached a stage where what the West will do is not really important, because he feels that everything the West does will be directed against his survival in power.” And his survival in power is number one for him. What Belarusian society thinks and how it sees it is a much more complex and complex issue, since society is obviously the one that suffers the most from what is happening: both from the regime and from tougher sanctions, it will also respond.
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