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The economist explained that far-right extremist Anders Breivik, who carried out and claimed responsibility a decade ago in the Norwegian capital Oslo and the island of Utoja, was the least likely to become infected with COVID-19, killing 76 people. year. year. However, the government said it should not try to lock people up in strict quarantine.
“Nobody wants to get infected or infect their families. But if there is only one logic: desperately improving the indicators, listen, A. Breivik, who is sitting in a closed Norwegian prison, watching television, reading books, he does not go anywhere and receives full supplies, you have less chance of getting infected.
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Analyst: Let the people choose
When the government decided to renew restrictions on movement between municipalities in Lithuania during the Easter period, most of the people were outraged that they could not visit their relatives for the second time in a row. According to the economist R. Rudzkis, a democratic state should allow people to choose for themselves whether or not they want to take risks in this case.
“We are a democracy, maybe we let the people choose for themselves if they want to take a small risk or not? If you are already guided by the fact that we want to improve the death rate as soon as possible, then perhaps the Government will be surprised to introduce a speed limit of up to 40 kilometers per hour on the highway? Then no one will die, we will avoid a couple hundred deaths, but for some reason those ideas don’t come to mind, “he said.
According to the analyst, the movement restrictions would make sense if they affected only the blackest municipalities in the country with more than one virus outbreak, and not all of Lithuania. R. Rudzkis assured that he does not see the benefits of this measure.
“This restriction would make sense if there were 2-3 municipalities with very strong chimneys. Apparently, it might make sense to isolate those chimneys. There are no significant differences in Lithuania, at least between the big cities where the majority of the population lives. What benefits does it have for stop the virus, I don’t know.
The largest chimneys are only in the big cities. The fact that we are cutting back the movement between the big cities and the small municipalities, what are we doing? We barely change the average number of contacts across the country. What determines how fast the virus spreads? Of the average number of contacts per day or per week.
These restrictions on movement between municipalities hardly change this number. Do you think that reducing mobility in kilometers has an impact on the virus? The virus is affected by the amount of contacts with other people ”, said the economist.
Vacations no longer make sense?
R. Rudzkis also gave a concrete example: he is not allowed to go to see his brother, who has already been infected with the coronavirus, in Šakiai, while he is threatened with contact with even more people who may not have gotten sick after close. Vilnius.
“Driving long distances significantly reduces the number of contacts for me. And in my spare time, being in Vilnius on Saturdays and Sundays, I will get in touch with many more people. Common sense shows that it doesn’t help. Except when there are small municipalities, not like Vilnius.
The denser and larger the city, the more diseases there will be, because there will be many more contacts there. This restriction would make sense if a pair of sparsely populated municipalities were identified. If they had to isolate them, that might be justified. Then it would be possible to speed up the vaccination process in those municipalities, if that were the case.
Today, the opposite is true: most of the infected people are in major cities. And what do we change if we restrict travel from big cities to small ones? Whoever needs what they really want, still goes, ”said the economist.
He cited the deterioration in the psychological condition of people, especially older people, who can no longer visit their younger relatives who live in cities, as one of the negative consequences of traffic restrictions, which supposedly break ties. between families.
All these restrictions only make life difficult for honest people, they break the ties between families: young and old, because older people live more in neighborhoods. This causes high psychological stress, especially for older people who are waiting for such a young person.
After all, there are traditions in Lithuania: Christmas, Easter ”. It was a great family party that everyone was waiting for ”, R. Rudzkis is convinced.
“I am simply surprised by this Government”
The analyst gave the example of Germany, whose government, seeing people’s anger at the additional restrictions imposed during the holidays, hastily stopped them.
“And do you think Lithuanians are not furious? Read reviews. I am simply surprised by this government, it seems that it is not interested at all in public opinion, its ratings or the upcoming elections.” What she cares about is a secret from me “R. Rudzkis spared no criticism.
The economist pointed out that lifting the movement restrictions, in his opinion, would slightly change the number of cases.
“The impact will be very small. Believe me. From the point of view of lifting bans on municipalities, the impact would be really small. After all, everyone in the family knows the situation of others, they know who has been vaccinated, who has been tested and things like that ”, he summarized.
