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“We have a general sequence study that the currently dominant variant is the B1.177.LTU variety, if so in the jargon, the Lithuanian version of the Spanish variant. It has been spreading us since the summer, a variety that has dominated the autumn wave. However, the British variety, which accounts for around 15%, is already starting to grow. of all, but here the data is from February, probably now more progress has been made, “said the analyst at the government meeting on Monday.
He stressed that the situation with coronavirus strains is different in Lithuania.
The slide presented to the Government shows that most of the British mutations were detected in Marijampolė county. A.Šimaitis emphasized that these data were from almost a month ago.
“In Vilnius county, we see that there were a lot of Britons. But, let’s say, in Šiauliai, Panevėžys and Utena counties there was hardly any registration,” he said the situation is really different, he said.
According to the analyst, the British variety is not yet dominant in Lithuania.
It can be said that there are many more British varieties in Vilnius than in February, it is probably dominant.
However, by looking at other parameters, according to A.Šimaiitis, one can get an impression about the prevalence of this mutation.
“In the veterinary laboratory, which performs PCR tests mainly for mobile sites in the Vilnius region and Vilnius city, what percentage of positive PCR tests had the abandoned S gene? If we look at February 20, the percentage was roughly 20, which is the amount of sequencing data from that day that is of the British variety. We see that the percentage has risen to 50 in the last month, “he said.
“You can say that there are many more British varieties in Vilnius than in February, it is most likely dominant,” he said.
A. Šimaitis emphasized that the British strain of the virus spreads 1.5 times faster and 1.5 to 2 times more deadly.
“The deterioration of the hospital data in Vilnius may be explaining the situation,” he said.
The situation in Lithuania is unstable
“If we look at the whole situation in Lithuania in terms of the number of cases, we are in a similar situation as we were 3-4 weeks ago,” the expert said at the government meeting on Monday. – There was a carpet, which, however, did not become a kind of big bang, the situation stabilized. But today, the indicators similarly show that we are a bit on such a small rally again. “
According to A.Šimaiitis, we have been in the negative acceleration phase of the pandemic in Lithuania for a long time, which means that the epidemic has slowed down. About a week later, this acceleration turned negative, then fell, and now we are back in the bull phase.
There is no sustainable trend for us to actually grow or increase, rather an increase on the ground.
“There is no sustainable trend for us to really grow or increase, rather an increase on the ground,” he emphasized.
According to A.Šimaiitis, this increase occurs in the regions. According to him, this week it is obvious that the ascent phase is in the eastern region of Lithuania, that is, in Vilnius and around Vilnius county.
According to the analyst, in the last ten days 20 municipalities in the country have seen an increase in the number of cases, 40 – a decrease.
However, on Sunday an increase in the number of cases was observed in up to 35 municipalities.
“Little by little the waves are rising, we are definitely not in the autumn stage,” he said.
According to A.Šimaiitis, the situation of deaths remains stable: “There is no statistically excessive mortality in our country. In the last three weeks, as many people have died as last year at the same time. The large surplus of deaths, which was linked to record numbers of pandemics, has leveled off.
According to A.Šimaitis, in general, the situation in Lithuanian hospitals is improving: the occupancy of beds is decreasing, but when looking at the individual municipalities, the situation is very different, for example, in Vilnius, both the occupancy of beds for hospitalized patients such as resuscitation are increasing. I had to look for extra beds.
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