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Neither party leader can boast strong public support. Although in the case of R. Karbauskis this was not always the case. 2016 In December, the party leader who recently won the Seimas election, according to public opinion and a market research poll conducted by Vilmorus, received a positive rating of up to 51.7 percent. Respondents were then rated unfavorably only at 15.6 percent. surveyed
In the context of the scandals with Greta Kildišienė, the rating curve has been reversed. The proportion of those who evaluated the policy negatively in June exceeded those who evaluated R. Karbauskis positively, and although the percentages changed, this trend continued until March of this year, when the last Vilmorus survey was conducted. According to their data, R. Karbauskis was unfavorably evaluated in 54.7%, and positively, in 23.9%. surveyed
Mr Landsberg’s situation is more stable. Throughout this Seimas period, this policy, the leader of the TS-LKD, was evaluated more negatively than positively by more respondents. For example, in 2016. In October, it was evaluated positively at 28.7% and negatively at 42.5%. respondents In March this year, it was evaluated positively at 28%, negatively at 44.5%. surveyed show Vilmorus data.
Unsurprisingly, in such a situation, current Prime Minister S. Skvernelis and former Finance Minister I. Šimonytė are one of the most frequently asked questions during party events, where strategies for the Seimas elections are discussed, whether Party lists will be run by more popular politicians associated with these parties but not formally belonging to them.
The situation in Karbauskis and Landsbergis is not the same.
Professor Lauras Bielinis of Vytautas Magnus University (VMU) said that each party decides this matter in its own way. It all depends on whether the party is on a personalized level. That is, if it is a part that would identify with a particular person.
“For example, we often call ‘peasants’ ‘carbans.’ At one time, the LDDP was the ‘Brazauskininkai’, the conservatives were the ‘Landsbergians.’ If a party is personalized, the leader’s place on the list is completely irrelevant. because everyone votes for the party that symbolizes a particular last name.
In this case, the leader may be at the end, like a piston. You can also be in any risky district. This is already an internal strategy, “said L. Bielinis.
According to the political scientist, it is different if the party is not personalized.
“If there are a lot of leadership positions, then the position of the party leader on the list becomes a kind of position of this leader in competition with other leaders within the party.” So everyone expects his victory or defeat, “said L. Bielinis.
The political scientist recalled the situation during the Seimas elections of this period, when G. Landsbergis ran in Kaunas, a single-member constituency of Žaliakalnis.
“It was a kind of test for him as a leader. The fact that he achieved good results there somehow strengthened his position in that match, “said L. Bielinis.
It is unclear to what extent nonpartisan leaders influence voter self-determination.
Algis Krupavičius, another VMU professor, has a slightly different opinion.
“A party leader in a democracy in parliamentary elections is usually number 1 on the list. But in Lithuania we have had a faulty practice for some time, which means that we have entered a period of leasing policy. This is the First on the list is a guest celebrity. In the cases mentioned, none of those celebrities are party members. In this way, we are trying to get more voter support, “said A. Krupavičius.
At the same time, the political scientist noted that it is not unequivocally clear that one or the other party list leader, who is a celebrity but not a party member, really does significantly change the sentiment of voters, and if voters suddenly return their faces to one party or another.
“It is clear that S. Skvernelis in 2016. the peasants really brought dividends. I can be expected. Šimonytė can bring some votes in the next Seimas elections to TS-LKD. But conservatives are the type of party that has an electoral body very defined, and have a hard time attracting floating voters even from the very center-right. I. Šimonytė’s leadership on the party list means just one thing, that she will first compete for the votes of the liberal voters, with the Liberal Movement, the Freedom Party, “said A. Krupavičius.
In general, according to the political scientist, it is important if the party president will be second, fifth or twentieth on the list.
“If they rent celebrities first place on the list, then the party leader should be second. Voters would not understand if G. Landsbergis or R. Karbauskis were in fifteenth place. Then the question would arise if they want to be on politics, “said A. Krupavičius.
Landsberg’s leadership question still raises
According to the political scientist, in the context of such debates, the question of how competitive the leader of both parties is in general is relevant.
“SOL. Landsberg has a number of leadership problems. He is not the leader for the first or second year, but his leadership is questioned not only by Kęstutis Girnius, they are political commentators, but also occasionally within the party you hear one voice or another that G. Landsbergis is too weak a leader of TS-LKD. ” – said A. Krupavičius.
The political scientist suggested conducting a thought experiment and imagining that another politician would be at the forefront of TS-LKD.
“It may be that the party does not need the first numbers on the list. Andrius Kubilius in his time was naturally and unequivocally evaluated as the main face of the party, and nobody organized or wanted discussions when considering who could lead the party to the elections of Seimas, “said A. Krupavičius.
Karbauskis is called an introverted politician
R. Karbauskis was characterized by a political scientist as a highly introverted policy.
“There are not many introverted politicians. His tandem with S. Skvernel paid off. Occasionally, another black cat goes through their relationship, but the difference in their characters in this case means a certain additionality,” said A. Krupavičius.
In his opinion, R. Karbauskis is important in gathering, organizing and managing the party within the party with his concentration skills.
“And S. Skvernelis is more of a face to the outside, with the possibility of slightly increasing voter support. But overall, the considerations about how much a leader increases the influence of a party are extremely slippery. Obviously, when it is about the possibilities of the LVŽS in the Seimas elections, the most important catapult is a pandemic, ”said A. Krupavičius.
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