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On Saturday, V.Kasiulevičius discussed on Facebook how the number of COVID-19 cases fluctuates in foreign countries and what it depends on.
Photo by Arno Strumila / 15min / Vytautas Kasiulevičius
“The causes and consequences. In the following slides, four countries (Ireland, United Kingdom (United Kingdom), Czech Republic and Lithuania) where different strains of SARS-CoV-2 proliferate, but the scenarios are similar and the effective drugs are as follows. themselves.
We release the restrictions, we get a new leap in the disease. And new strains of the virus are spreading even faster, so more effort is needed to control their spread.
We restrict our movement, spend less time in meetings, fewer illnesses, fewer excessive deaths, and at the same time avoid overloading the healthcare system, even with new strains of the virus.
This is also shown by the data from the UK and Ireland: governments have taken action again, the movement of people to meeting places has decreased, the situation is beginning to stabilize ”, said the researcher.
And keep in mind that despite all the restrictions, the industry works, contactless companies work, electricity consumption is reduced very minimally, and in companies where the same people and employers meet regularly, they can separate shifts, ensure minimal contact, provide workers with protective equipment. and to test them, the outbreaks are usually minimal, “he added.
V.Kasiulevičius stated that regular testing of the population can help reduce the number of COVID-19 cases, which would open up the service sector. But Lithuania, according to the scientist, does not have the opportunity to conduct periodic tests.
“Regular testing, early detection and isolation of sick people can also reduce the number of illnesses. Periodic tests could begin to open up the service sector.
But without the introduction of rapid antigen tests or automated PCR test lines in our country, it is hard for me to imagine such a universal test. We still have nothing, “said V. Kasiulevičius.
So according to him, we can start talking about easing the quarantine regime in mid-April, when it gets hotter and some people will be vaccinated.
Today, we only have one effective tool: restrictions.
“Today we have only one effective measure: the restrictions, they work, and those restrictions are necessary for our country not until January 31, but at least until mid-April, when the UV index and air temperature will begin to stop the spread of the infection.
Finally, the most vulnerable will be vaccinated in mid-April. And even then it will be possible to speak of liberation, “said V. Kasiulevičius.
The quarantine regime in Lithuania should continue until at least January 31, but the government can extend it. Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė did not rule out the possibility that then some of the restrictions were not so strict, but according to her, release from quarantine should be treated with caution.
Arno Strumila / 15-minute photo / Ingrida Šimonytė
“We would like exit strategies to be managed, combined with vaccination tests and solutions. It certainly won’t be the case, I can say it with certainty, that all restrictions will expire on January 31st. Some restrictions, perhaps, any and at what pace, in what stages, we will still have to discuss it, ”taught I. Šimonytė on Wednesday after the Government meeting.
He did not elaborate on how the quarantine regime could be mitigated: the strategy to get out of the strict quarantine is due to be discussed with experts next week.
Currently, COVID-19 affects more than 59 thousand people in Lithuania. population, 1,850 patients are treated in hospitals, 138 of which are in resuscitation.
VIDEO: Government to cautiously relax quarantine regime: “We would like to avoid roller coasters”
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