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Promises a cold Christmas
Although it is already the middle of November, the roses are still blooming in the flower gardens, in the Panevėžys district, on the way to Pasvalys, a yellow field of sunflowers attracts attention, and the poppies continue to redden towards Šilagalis. People are also surprised by the swelling of the oil, even the chestnut buds.
Vitalija Vasiliauskaitė, museologist at the Department of Ethnic Culture at the Museum of Local Customs in Panevėžys, says that on November 11, St. According to popular traditions, Martynas meant the end of herding. It was a certain time limit that marked the arrival of a deep drop. According to V. Vasiliauskaitė, the shepherds were the ones who most expected this celebration. They even performed certain rituals of guiding the white goat around the birch, asking it to fall asleep faster or for the frost to come and they no longer need to graze.
In the traditional Lithuanian town of St. Martin it was important in another way too. Then, at the end of agricultural work, children’s science began: they went to daraktors or primary schools.
And the farmers according to St. Martin’s weather was trying to guess what Christmas would be like.
“It is said that if St. Martin is on ice, this Christmas it will be on water, and vice versa. According to St. We should have a beautiful and cold Christmas for Martynas, but now everything is balanced and the traditional folk guesses are probably not very appropriate, ”says V. Vasiliauskaitė.
Anomalies are becoming common
People anticipate the weather and specialists predict using a variety of scientific methodologies. Dr., Head of the Research and Development Division of the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service (LHT). According to Donatas Valiukas, short-term observations, when it comes to predicting what the morning will be like in the afternoon and vice versa, usually have some scientific explanation, but the long-term predictions of the ancients, in his opinion, were probably based on a simple logic. Suppose that if summer were cold, winter should be warm.
“Apparently, it was argued that the annual temperature does not usually have very large deviations. But in the current situation due to rapid climate change, it doesn’t matter anymore ”, says D. Valiukas.
Experts can only say general long-term weather trends. In November and the first week of December, the weather is forecast to be about an hour and a half warmer than usual at that time.
“It just came to our knowledge then. A large anomaly was corrected, even 4.2 degrees warmer than it should be with us. After that, this anomaly will be minor, but it will still be warmer than usual,” says a representative from LHT.
And what awaits Christmas, he says, is too early to predict.
This year and September and October were unusually warm. These two autumn months are recorded as the second warmest in Lithuania in more than half a century.
Rivers without water
Unusually hot and dry weather also causes anomalies in nature. Already in summer, the country was declared hydrological drought in the rivers and so far the situation has changed little. According to Gintaras Brazinskas, an environmental engineer from Panevėžio gatvė, the water is not stable. The Ekrano Dam is opened minimally, just so bottom fish don’t get stuck. The only consolation is that the water level at least doesn’t go down.
Juozas Šimkus, Head of the Department of Hydrological Observations at LHT, confirmed that Nevėžis and Lėvuo continued as well as in summer.
“It just came to our knowledge then. Only the view on the rivers is a little more beautiful, because the aquatic vegetation dies out, which makes it seem like there is more water,” says J. Šimkus.
According to him, the soil is quite dry and the falling precipitation is quickly absorbed.
According to J. Šimkus, even if it rains more for a few days or after the rains, the situation would not improve much. At present, rivers are preparing for winter, their ecosystem is not as active, so the damage to nature from drought is not as great as in summer or during spawning. However, if the winter is cold and the water level in the rivers does not rise, it can be difficult for both fish and microorganisms to survive under the ice.
Rhododendrons bloomed
Botanists also observe certain anomalies. A month ago, the rhododendrons bloomed in the Botanical Garden of Šiauliai University, usually in May and June.
However, according to the director of the Botanical Garden, dr. Martynas Kazlauskas, your collection contains 250 rhododendrons and every year at the end of the summer at least two or three of them bloom.
According to the director, untimely flowering is not good for the plants: they lose some energy and the fruit and seeds do not ripen next year.
But it would be even worse if young twigs of game plants started to grow. They would really freeze.
According to dr. M. Kazlauskas, this year it has been noticed that the leaves have not fallen any longer. Also, when it was decided that it would no longer be necessary to mow, we had to call the mowers again; In the warm early days of November, the grass grew.
Look at the thermometer
No one in the fall is considering whether it is time to cover the thinner plants for the winter. Dr. M. Kazlauskas says that it is necessary to cover only when a hard scab forms due to cold. The Botanical Garden does not yet cover plants and does not recommend others to do so.
“Normally we cover the plants before Christmas, but we had to cover them in February for a few years,” says the director.
According to him, the coating should not look at the calendar, but at the thermometer and alarm bells to call only when the air temperature drops to 10 degrees below zero.
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