[ad_1]
“Obviously, the biggest frustration among the parties is the Social Democrats: I don’t think 10 percent. and nine terms are what they expected in a constituency of several members, ”Rima Urbonaitė, a political scientist at Mykolas Romeris University, told BNS.
According to Mažvydas Jastramskis, associate professor at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science at Vilnius University, the Freedom Party became an undoubted surprise of these elections, performing well not only in the big cities, where its predicted success, but also in smaller cities.
“It seems that maybe they are leading that younger and optimistic voter who hopes for some change to a better and more progressive policy. It is not such a big surprise, but the appearance of the Socdems, lagging behind the Labor Party, seems interesting.” He said.
The political scientist considered that the Social Democratic Party had been overshadowed by publicity and the brilliant appearance of the “workers” in public space a few months before the elections. These elections also revealed the blow to the divided left political forces when the Social Democratic Labor Party split from the Social Democrats.
“The clash of ambitions has led to the need to accept a secondary role in the political system,” Jastramski said.
According to R. Urbonaitė, the campaign of the Social Democrats was lazy and, by failing to attract the attention of voters, they went unnoticed.
“It seems they made the mistake of winning where two fight and it will be the third, and the voters will automatically return to them from the ranks of the ‘campesinos’,” he said.
Photo by Lukas Balandi / 15min / Rima Urbonaitė
While waiting for part of the results of the main electoral districts of the city on Monday night, the size of the gap between the main Lithuanian Christian Democrats of the National Union and the rest of the Lithuanian peasants and greens, as well as the campaign Lithuanian Polish electoral-Union of Christian families has 5 percent. poster.
The intrigue of possible center-right or center-left coalitions, according to political scientists, is likely to persist until the end of the second must.
Center right or center left?
According to M. Jastramskis, when observing the results of the elections, the contours of two possible future coalitions are developing: “It can be a very approximate matter if we place that coalition between the center left and the center right.”
According to him and R. Urbonaitė, a clear picture will probably be seen only after the second round of the Seimas elections, when it becomes clear who won in the single-member constituencies.
“However, today I would say that the first round is over, long live the second round, because there is still nothing clear,” said R. Urbonaitė.
According to M. Jastramski, in the second round a similar struggle of the two teams can be observed as in the 2016 elections, but unlike when the conservatives and the “peasants” competed with each other, in these elections it is possible to observe the clash of broader political teams.
Photo by Lukas Balandis / 15min / Mažvydas Jastramskis
According to political scientists, the intrigue remains which of these blocs the Social Democrats will go to, who, despite their modest performance in the elections, will be a significant force.
According to R. Urbonaitė, the second remaining “peasants” can still enjoy good results.
“Being the first party in a multi-member government is really very difficult, and basically the voters are trying to find alternatives, but despite everything, I admit that there are no bad results as a ruling party and they have not gone bad,” said the political scientist .
The opposition Lithuanian Christian National-Democratic Union (TS-LKD) leads the Seimas elections in a multinominal constituency, the ruling “peasants” are second, the Labor Party so far third, but the Social Democrats are hot on their heels, according to the CCA.
After counting votes in 1,730 constituencies since 1989, TS-LKD got 22 percent. votes and receives 20 seats, the Lithuanian Union of Greens and Peasants receives 19 percent. votes and 18 seats, the Labor Party – 11 percent. and 10 seats, the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party: 10 percent. and nine terms.
According to preliminary data, the Freedom Party, which participated in the parliamentary elections for the first time, raised more than 7.6 percent. votes and has seven seats, the Liberal Movement – 6.5 percent. and six terms.
In a multi-member constituency, the parties share 70 seats out of 141. Another 71 parliamentarians are elected in single-member constituencies.
It is not yet clear whether Lithuania’s Polish election campaign, the Union of Christian Families, will increase by 5 percent. electoral barrier – according to preliminary data, it has 4.91 percent. votes.
The Lithuanian Social Democratic Labor Party, which currently belongs to the ruling coalition, does not cross the electoral barrier with 3.5 percent. votes.
In the multi-member constituency, 17 parties raised candidate lists.
[ad_2]
