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The US-based Institute for Military Studies (ISW) writes that Russia’s interference in events in Belarus is driving protesters against the Kremlin. Protesters in Minsk and Grodno during the September 6 demonstrations displayed posters with anti-Russian sentiment, such as “No Kremlin for the absorption of Belarus”, “The Kremlin betrayed Belarus” and “Shin Putashenko”.
On Sunday, protesters chanted “Sasha, drink tea, Putin is eating.” This is an allusion to the supposedly poisoned critics of the Kremlin.
According to ISW, the protests are still directed against Lukashenko, but the Kremlin’s continued involvement is likely to increase the focus on Russia. There were no anti-Russian sentiments during the protests in Belarus until the Kremlin began to pressure Lukashenko to integrate Belarus into the Russian structures.
Vytis Jurkonis, a professor at the Vilnius University Institute of International Relations and Political Science (VU TSPMI), says that Russia and the Russians should be separated from the Kremlin.
“We can speak of anti-Kreminism, but not anti-Russian. It would be very good not to scourge these things in one place, because whoever does so is, in principle, in the interests of the Kremlin.” 15 minutes he said.
According to V. Jurkonis, both the Kremlin and the Minsk official would like to see anti-Russian sentiments in the protests in Belarus.
“Because that would give them an excuse to justify their actions. In principle, they provoke such a reaction. I think those who protest these issues should be more careful. The fact that this movement is obviously not a geopolitical option is its strength, ”says V. Jurkonis.
According to VU TSPMI professor Dovilė Jakniūnaitė, the Belarusians’ determination against the Kremlin in support of A. Lukashenko is a “great risk”, which political technologists are cautiously trying to balance.
“There is a common perception that Belarusians as a community are not anti-Russian or hostile to Russia, that it would be very wrong if something similar happened in Ukraine, that (Belarusians) became hostile,” he said.
Photo by Lukas Balandi / 15min / Dovilė Jakniūnaitė
Therefore, according to the professor, a propaganda manipulation game is being played in an attempt to reduce the scale of the protests, to show that the majority of Belarusians do not take to the streets, but support A. Lukashenko.
“Because there is a danger that absolute persuasion can face. It seems to me that strategists understand this perfectly ”. 15 minutes declared D.Jakniūnaitė.
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Putin and Lukashenko’s meeting is scheduled for September 14 in Sochi, the first since the protests began in Belarus.
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