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President Donald Trump’s initial push is fierce in counting the races to determine victory or defeat in the US presidential election. However, as a result of the Corona 19 pandemic, there is still a chance that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden could reverse when a record mail ballot took place. It is difficult to raise a hand until the pre-vote count is complete.
CNN broadcasts on the 4th (local time) that it is still difficult to predict victory or defeat, as the mail-in vote counting has not even started in the last four fierce states, including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia. Reported.
Pennsylvania, a key contender that will determine the fate of the US presidential election, did not confirm a winner until early morning, the day after voting day. Victory or defeat will be decided depending on where the votes of the millions of mail-in voters waiting for the count are headed. Local media predict that the Pennsylvania winner is likely to be the ultimate winner of the presidential election.
As of 3:30 am on the 4th, Pennsylvania’s count progress remains at 64%. President Trump obtained more than 2.85 million votes, recording 56.4% of the votes. Candidate Biden is far behind with 2.15 million votes (42.4%).
Overall, President Trump’s victory is seen as promising, but the problem is voting by mail. Pennsylvania is subject to state regulations to open mail-in ballots only after voting ends on Election Day. Additionally, in consideration of the rapid increase in mail-in vote volume due to Corona 19, ballots that arrived within three days of the election were counted as valid votes. The point where voting by mail is reflected in the tally can be much slower than voting at the place.
Depending on the result of the subsequent counting of the mail ballot, the overall vote rate may be reversed. According to the political outlet Politico, Pennsylvania received more than 2.5 million ballots by mail as of the morning of the previous day. Of these, more than 1.6 million votes for the Democratic Party and 586,000 votes for the Republican Party, Politico estimated. Assuming mail-in ballots rarely took place except in a few counties, the final number of votes was 3,436,000 Trump and 3.75 million Biden, slightly ahead of Biden. Although it is very thin, it is possible given that President Trump won the 2016 presidential election with only 40.4292 votes (0.72 percentage points).
Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf, a member of the Democratic Party, also tweeted the day that “there are more than 1 million votes by mail that have yet to be counted.” In particular, there are observations that a reversal is possible given that the count status of urban areas in Pennsylvania, which has a large population, remains low. In general, support for candidate Biden and the Democrats appears to be higher in urban areas than in suburban areas.
According to Fox News, in Wisconsin, 95% of the votes were counted at 5 a.m., and Biden, who had been behind President Trump the entire time, backtracked. With the opening of 169,000 votes upfront in Milwaukee, Wisconsin’s largest city, a setback was achieved as the Democrats expected. However, Biden is ahead of President Trump by just 0.3 percentage point with 49.4% of the vote in Wisconsin. The difference between the two candidates is only 7,471 votes, so it is not uncommon to win or lose again.
The Washington Post (WP) said it will take 2-3 days for the final count of the three Rustbelt states that hold the key to this presidential election, taking into account the peculiarity of voting by mail.
Georgia, the owner of a beltless competition in South Korea, is also in an unusual situation. The New York Times (NYT) reported that in the case of Georgia, Biden is more likely to win, as the area of Atlanta inhabited by blacks remains numbered. He predicted the probability that Georgia would go to Biden was 64%.
According to Fox News’ presidential election status map, Biden has secured 238 voters as of 6 a.m. on the day. Up to 270, the ‘magic number’, 32 people remained. Among the places where the count has not been completed, the US media sees that Biden has potential to win in Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10) and Georgia (16). The total number of his constituents is 46.
Reporter Lee Hyung-min and Kim Ji-hoon [email protected]
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