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Even after the reorganization of the 7-day distance, it is expected to remain in the ‘first stage’.
It is close to the average of 100 confirmed cases per day.
If group infections break out, including Halloween, the level increases by 1.5 or more
Ahead of the social distancing reorganization on the 7th, quarantine authorities are deeply concerned that the fires of a new coronavirus infection cluster infection (Corona 19) ongoing around the metropolitan area are undetected. Currently, authorities expect the first phase of distancing to continue after the 7th, but if the Corona 19 spread is on fire within this week with Halloween Day being the 31st of last month, the 1.5-step distancing update is also on. prohibited. This is a worrying situation.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Bangdaebon) on day 2, the number of corona19 confirmed at 0 o’clock on this day increased by 97 compared to the previous day to a cumulative 26,732. Confirmed daily cases continued to be in triple digits for five days, and then fell to double digits in six days, but it is too early to alleviate them because it is the effect of the decrease in the number of testers over the weekend.
Weekly risk assessment indicators are gradually illuminating the warning lights. After September 27, the average number of confirmed cases per day in Korea for a week increased to 61.4 (October 4 ~) → 62.1 (11th ~) → 75.3 (18th ~) → 86 , 9 (25 °), etc. It has remained. The reorganization plan for social distancing requires that the daily number of confirmed patients in the metropolitan area be 100 or more, and 30 or more in other areas (10 or more in Jeju and Gangwon), the step will rise to 1 , 5 steps. Not the water level. The rate during the route of infection investigation also decreased from 18.2% in late September to 11.9% and 8.7% through mid-October, then rose to 13.9% in the last week. The share of management in the quarantine network is below 80%.
The number of outbreaks of group infections decreased compared to the previous week (14) to 12 in the last week, but it raises concern as it is concentrated in schools, family gatherings and nursing hospitals. At noon, group infections were recently confirmed in three places: Gwangju-si family gathering in Gyeonggi province (21 people), logistics and delivery business in Paju city (12 people), and workplaces in Asan, Chungnam (18 people). Also, △ 2 people related to Seoul music lessons △ 3 people related to Ace Hope Care Center in Dongdaemun-gu △ 1 person related to Lucky Sauna in Gangnam-gu, etc. There is a growing mass of infection in the Seoul area.
In fact, the wavelength is expected to be not small if the effect of the Halloween party is superimposed on the immediate situation. On Halloween day, some entertainment establishments voluntarily closed their businesses, but a nearby bar was found to be more crowded late into the night. Some of those who attended the party are known to not properly wear masks to prevent makeup from fading. As Corona 19 symptoms usually appear within 4-5 days, at the latest within a week, this week is expected to be a climax.
Lee Jae-gap, professor of infectious medicine at Hallym University Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital, warned: “The second pandemic is not completely over, and if the (large-scale infection) breaks out, it will be more explosive and the epidemic will continue in the near future. ” “If you have contact with many people other than your family in any way, please wear a more thorough mask,” said Jeong Eun-kyung, director of disease management. “If you have any suspicious symptoms, get tested right away.”
The influenza (flu) epidemic, which usually begins in mid-November, is also one of the mountains to overcome. The proportion of flu-like patients (those who have a sudden fever of 38 degrees or higher, cough, or sore throat) is 1.7 per 1,000 outpatients, lower than in the same period last year (4.5 ) and less than the epidemic standard (5.8). However, as people who abandon vaccination due to the death of the flu vaccine appear one by one, the quarantine authorities cannot hide their impatience.
Commissioner Chung appealed that day: “Make sure you get a flu shot to reduce the burden of diseases such as complications from pneumonia or pneumonia.” In addition, the government plans to announce the results of the PCR (gene amplification) diagnostic test kit that enables detection, which can simultaneously test for both Corona 19 and influenza, to avoid confusion that can occur when corona 19 and influenza pandemic flu (demic twin) at the same time. be be.
Jinjoo Kim reporter [email protected]
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